Adelaide United vs Jiangsu Suning
Competition: AFC Champions League
Date: 9 May 2017
Kick-off: 12:00 CET
Adelaide United have to win, win, win, or else it won’t matter what Jeju United do in the other group game that will be taking place simultaneously. The Aussies have five points in five matches, but, very importantly, four of those have come in the two matches against Jeju United, which means that if they finish with the same points, Adelaide will be in the last 16. If Adelaide win, and Jeju United fail to beat Gamba Osaka, it’ll be celebration time for the Aussies. Their last game was at Gamba, two weeks ago, where they drew 3-3. Central midfielder Jordan O’Doherty, scorer of a spectacular goal at Gamba, picked up a second yellow card in that game and is unavailable. The just 18-year-old Riley McGree is expected to take his place in the lineup. Left-back Ben Garuccio got injured in training a few days ago, and is a major doubt. Right-back Tarek Elrich got seriously injured a month ago, and won’t be back before October. Centre-backs Dylan McGowan and Taylor Regan did not play at Gamba due to suspension, but both are expected to be in the first eleven against Suning.
Jiangsu Suning may have qualified for the last 16 of the Champions League, but the situation is anything but rosy at the club. They are sitting last, last, in the table of China’s championship, they have four points in eight matches, they haven’t won yet(!), last weekend they struggled to earn a point at home against penultimate in the table Yanbian Funde, a few days earlier they won 1-0 at Jiangxi Liansheng in an FA Cup game against a lowly second division team, only Alex Teixeira and Ramires are doing well, but they’re not enough, and it’s no wonder that Korean coach Yong-Soo Choi is close to getting fired. Half a dozen names of well-known coaches, mostly Italian, appeared in reports these last days. It remains to be seen how motivated the team will look at Adelaide United, with their morale low, I repeat, despite having already qualified for the last 16. A ‘so-so’ record in the CSL these first two months of the season could be tolerated and up to a point understood, given that Jiangsu have been playing in the Champions League as well, with success, but being last and failing to beat the second-to-last at home, is too much to take for the club owners. Important detail: Jiangsu traveled to Australia without key players, who were left behind to rest, given that Suning are not dying to earn a positive result in Adelaide.
Adelaide United vs Jiangsu Suning: Head-to-head Stats
Jiangsu Suning beat Adelaide United 2-1 at home earlier this season. That was the first time ever these two met.
Adelaide United vs Jiangsu Suning: Prediction
I do expect highly motivated Adelaide United to beat Jiangsu Suning, but the fact that the win of the Aussies pays too-too little, obliges me to dig deeper.
Adelaide United vs Jiangsu Suning: Tips
At 1.40, Adelaide’s win doesn’t look appealing enough. Over 2.5 goals is at 1.60. Combining the two, an Adelaide win and over 2.5 goals, raises the potential earnings to acceptable levels.