Al Ahli Dubai vs Lokomotiv Tashkent
Competition: AFC Champions League
Date: 9 May 2017
Kick-off: 17:50 CET
Al Ahli Dubai vs Lokomotiv Tashkent: Preview
Looking at the table of the group, it’s obvious that if Al Ahli win or even draw, they are through to the last 16 of the competition. The question is what happens if they lose. Hundreds of words could be written on that, given that the situation in the group is super complicated. Incredibly, all four teams, all four, could finish with the same points, eight, in which case, the goal differences would decide who would be in the top two. The bottom line is that Al Ahli need a simple draw, not even a win, to secure their spot in the next stage of the competition. Al Ahli’s last game was almost a week ago, at Al Ittihad Kalba, where they drew 1-1. That was their second straight draw in the championship, where just one game week is left, the one next weekend. Al Ahli are sitting third, one point above fourth-placed Al Ain, and they need to remain there, so as to play Champions League football next season as well.
Lokomotiv have just one win in five group matches so far, but if they win at Al Ahli, they are 90% in the last 16 of the competition. Again, it would take an endless paragraph to describe what can happen in this group after the last two matches, but the bottom line is that Lokomotiv need to win. A simple win by just one goal, will be enough for them, if Al Taawon don’t beat Esteghlal in the other group match. If Al Taawon win, all four teams could finish with exactly the same points, eight each. Even then, Lokomotiv would be in the top two, as long as Al Taawon beat Esteghlal by up to three goals. Lokomotiv’s last game was almost a win ago, they drew 2-2 at Navbahor, but they remain first in Uzbekistan’s championship, with a game in hand as well, on second-placed and one point behind Kokand-1912.
Al Ahli Dubai vs Lokomotiv Tashkent: Head-to-head Stats
Lokomotiv Tashkent beat Al Ahli 2-0 at home earlier this season. That was the first time these two met.
Al Ahli Dubai vs Lokomotiv Tashkent: Prediction
Al Ahli need a simple draw to qualify, they haven’t lost at home in their last seven matches, since January 28, and despite not going through their best period I’m backing them to earn that draw.
Al Ahli Dubai vs Lokomotiv Tashkent: Tips
Al Ahli or draw is at 1.30, obviously not worth it. Between the two, I’m going with an Al Ahli win, counting on them taking advantage of the fact that Lokomotiv will take risks to score that first goal they absolutely need. Plus, Al Ahli are playing at home, which is a big advantage for them. Al Ahli’s win pays 2.10. They have kept a clean sheet in three of their last four home games, so I’m tempted to combine their win with a clean sheet, at 3.60.