Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 3 December 2017
Kick-off: 20:00 CET
A below average performance “deserved” a poor result. Atletico Paranaense lost 1-0 at Avai last weekend, looking second best on the pitch in most of the game. Their best moment to score was in the 62nd minute, when Fabricio had the chance to level the score from the penalty spot. His execution was poor, and Atletico were not given another big opportunity in the remainder of the game, leaving Florianopolis empty-handed. They are 13th in the table, sure of a Copa Sudamericana ticket, and still with mathematical chances of finishing in a Copa Libertadores spot (9th). Underline the word “mathematical”, as… for them to be in Libertadores next season, they need half a dozen mini miracles. They need to beat Palmeiras, that’s number one. Then, they need Chapecoense and Atletico Mineiro to lose, they need Bahia and Sao Paulo not to win, and last but not least, they need Flamengo to win the Sudamericana this season (they face Independiente in the final), so as to free up an extra Libertadores spot for another Serie A side. Good luck Atletico with aaaall that… Your position would be so much better if you hadn’t failed big last weekend…
Ze Roberto played his last game for Palmeiras, played his last game in general when the Sao Paulo side hosted Botafogo last weekend, gave a very emotional speech in the dressing room before the match, throwing some of his medals to a trashcan(!) telling his teammates that trophies come second, it’s “living the moment” that comes first, finishing his speech asking his teammates to play for him. They definitely did, and both Palmeiras scorers, Dudu and Keno, dedicated their goals to their legendary teammate, who, at 43(!), finally decided that it was time for him to hang his boots up. Palmeiras were better practically for 90 minutes, and they definitely deserved all three points. They took advantage of Gremio’s draw to climb second in the table, not that it would make much difference, since either way they had/have secured a spot in next season’s Copa Libertadores group stage, but still, second is better than third or fourth. To make sure they finish there, not depending on others, they need to win this game.
Previous five matches:
Avai vs Atletico PR 1-0
Atletico PR vs Vasco da Gama 3-1
Ponte Preta vs Atletico PR 2-1
Botafogo vs Atletico PR 0-1
Atletico PR vs Corinthians 0-1
Palmeiras vs Botafogo 2-0
Avai vs Palmeiras 2-1
Palmeiras vs Sport Recife 5-1
Palmeiras vs Flamengo 2-0
Vitoria vs Palmeiras 3-1
Atletico’s next official game is on January 20 (Paranaense championship). A few days earlier, Palmeiras will have started their Paulista campaign in 2018.
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras: Head to head Stats
One win for Atletico, one for Palmeiras, and three draws, in the last five games between these two in Curitiba. Three of those five matches went over 2.5 goals.
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras: Prediction
In most of the matches on this last day of the season, I’m putting my trust in the teams that have the biggest motive. This is my exception, this game. Atletico do have a slim-slim chance of playing Libertadores football next season, plus, they are the hosts, they want to finish the season leaving their fans with some good impressions, but I don’t really expect them to win the game, despite their motive(s). I’m backing Palmeiras to get at least a draw.
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras: Betting Tips
Palmeiras’ double chance is at 1.48, low, but I really expect them to leave Curitiba undefeated, and I feel this 1.48 makes a good add-on combined with a bet on another game. Their win in “draw no bet” pays 1.90.
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