Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 19 November 2017
Kick-off: 22:00 CET
Not trusting Ponte Preta 100% to beat Atletico Paranaense (their double chance and their win in “draw no bet” were paying less than 1.50), I made “both teams to score” (2.00) my main tip when Atletico traveled to Campinas the other day. The Curitiba side did score, but they lost, 2-1, a result that may well have put an end to their dream of playing Copa Libertadores football next season. Three points at Campinas would have Atletico within striking distance from the Libertadores positions, but they found against them a super motivated Ponte Preta, who are fighting to avoid relegation. They had a header on the post while the game was still at 0-0, that could have changed the flow of the game, but… The Parana side has two of its last three games at home, but against strong teams (Vasco and Palmeiras), and even their away game next week is going to be… hell, as Avai are desperate to get points to avoid relegation.
Vasco da Gama haven’t lost in their last 11 matches, but they’ve won only one of their last six, and that’s why they have failed to climb higher than 8th. Still, someone should remember that Vasco are newly-promoted, and the fact that they are close to earning a Copa Libertadores ticket, is a huge deal for them. A few days ago I expected them and Atletico Mineiro to score, both, and the game to have at least three goals. Four attempts (two from each team) found the post, both teams missed several more clear chances to score, and the game ended in a 1-1 draw, a very poor result for such a game, full of beautiful moments inside the two boxes. Vasco have back-to-back away games, this one and at Cruzeiro next weekend, before hosting Ponte Preta on the last day of the season. They need to do their best, hoping for Gremio and Flamengo to win the Libertadores and the Sudamericana respectively, so that they open more Libertadores spots for other Serie A teams.
Previous 5 matches:
Ponte Preta vs Atletico PR 2-1
Botafogo vs Atletico PR 0-1
Atletico PR vs Corinthians 0-1
Cruzeiro vs Atletico PR 1-0
Atletico PR vs Chapecoense 0-0
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Mineiro 1-1
Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo 1-1
Santos vs Vasco da Gama 1-2
Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria 1-1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama 0-0
Atletico’s next game is at Avai, next Sunday. Same day, Vasco will be visiting Cruzeiro (both Brazil Serie A matches).
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama: Head to head Stats
Two wins for Atletico and three draws in the last five games between these two in Curitiba. Three of those five matches (including two of the three draws), went over 2.5 goals (over 3.5, actually).
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama: Prediction
Vasco haven’t lost since… ever, and I will be surprised if that happens in Curitiba.
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama: Betting Tips
Vasco’s double chance is at 1.78 betting odds. Their win in “draw no bet” pays 2.65.
More Brazil Serie A betting tips and match previews: