Banfield vs Nacional Montevideo
Competition: Copa Libertadores
Date: 14 February 2018
Kick-off: 23:00 CET
The last 30 minutes of Banfield’s game in Quito against Independiente del Valle are the type of football minutes that stay with you for a long time if you’ve watched them. After taking the lead and getting equalised in the first half, Banfield went 2-1 down in the 65th minute. At that point, they were out, as they had drawn 1-1 at home in the first leg. Independiente missed three awesome chances to score a third goal and… kill the game off, all with Estrada. He failed to send the ball in, again, and again, and as usually happens in football, his team got… punished for that. Sperdutti was sent in with two minutes left, plus added time. In his first and last attempt, he scored a golden goal for Banfield, a goal, by the way, that made my “draw or Banfield” tip come good, at 2.30, even in this… adventurous way. Last weekend, Banfield lost 1-0 at Talleres Córdoba, playing with… countless reserves. To be more specific, from the 11 players who started the game in Quito last week, only one started the match in Córdoba.
Nacional scored just six minutes into the game last week when they hosted Chapecoense in the return leg of their 1-0 victory in Chapeco, leaving their Brazilian opponents with the obligation to score at least twice. That didn’t happen, and actually Nacional won the game 1-0, imposing their own rules on the pitch, and generally looking better prepared, mostly mentally, for such a huge game. Last weekend they beat Rampla Juniors as well, 3-0, putting the game to bed as early as three minutes into the second half, when they made it 2-0. Kudos to them, because despite being in the middle of Copa Libertadores qualifiers they have won both their two first games in the new championship campaign in Uruguay, being one of the only two teams to have picked up all six possible points (along with Peñarol). Against Rampla Juniors, Nacional’s coach Medina, fielded a 100% different starting lineup, compared to the return leg against Chape.
Previous five matches:
Talleres Córdoba vs Banfield 1-0
Independiente del Valle vs Banfield 2-2
Banfield vs Atletico Tucuman 0-0
Banfield vs Independiente del Valle 1-1
Tigre vs Banfield 1-2
Rampla Juniors vs Nacional 0-3
Nacional vs Chapecoense 1-0
Torque vs Nacional 2-4
Chapecoense vs Nacional 0-1
Nacional vs Peñarol 1-3
Banfield are hosting Boca Juniors on Sunday (Argentina Superliga). Same day, Nacional will be hosting Fénix (Uruguay championship).
Banfield vs Nacional Montevideo: Head to head Stats
Banfield have hosted Nacional once in the past, in 2010, losing 2-0 in a Copa Libertadores group stage match.
Banfield vs Nacional Montevideo: Prediction
Banfield qualified despite not beating Independiente del Valle (1-1 and 2-2), Nacional qualified beating Chapecoense twice, but still, Banfield are considered relatively clear favourites to win this game. Personally, I don’t consider them favourites, but I do trust their fighting spirit to earn them at least a draw.
Banfield vs Nacional Montevideo: Betting Tips
I feel draw is the most probable result. It pays 3.00, or 3.40, combined with under 2.5 goals. Banfield’s win at 2.20 is not worth the risk, the way I see it. I would bet on their victory only in “draw no bet”, but in that case it doesn’t pay more than 1.54.
More Copa Libertadores betting tips and match previews: