Basel vs Manchester City
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Date: 13 February 2018
Kick-off: 20:45 CET
Basel lost 1-0 at home to Lugano a week ago, in the restart of the championship in Switzerland, seeing their two-point distance to leaders Young Boys go to five points. They did bounce back last weekend, beating Thun 2-0 away from home, but Young Boys didn’t drop points against Lausanne Sport. To have any chance against Manchester City, they will need to… play the games of their life. They sure were impressive in the group stage, won four matches keeping a clean sheet in each one, even at CSKA Moscow and Benfica, even against Manchester United at home, but I repeat, to have any chance against this Manchester City, they will need to… combine how good they looked in those four wins, and multiply it to ten.
In the Juventus vs Tottenham match preview I wrote that Juventus look “scary”, given their form in the last couple of months. Manchester City have looked even… scarier since the very start of the season. They are no longer undefeated in the Premier League, they lost 4-3 at Liverpool, but… that didn’t change much, excluding some statistics. Just last weekend they thrashed Leicester City 5-1, with Aguero scoring four goals, De Bruyne providing three assists, and generally looking awesome. City have practically secured the Premier League title, they are still active both in the FA and the League Cup in England, but they have won all those titles before. Sure, returning to the top of the Premier League, and in truly impressive fashion, is something, more than just something, but what really-really matters to them is to prove themselves at the biggest possible stage, and that is no other than the Champions League.
Previous five matches:
Thun vs Basel 0-2
Basel vs Lugano 0-1
Basel vs Luzern 1-0
Basel vs Winterthur 1-0
Basel vs Sturm Graz 2-4
Manchester City vs Leicester 5-1
Burnley vs Manchester City 1-1
Manchester City vs West Brom 3-0
Cardiff vs Manchester City 0-2
Bristol City vs Manchester City 2-3
Basel’s next game is on Saturday, again at home, versus St. Gallen (Switzerland championship). Manchester City are visiting Wigan on Monday, an FA Cup match.
Basel vs Manchester City: Head to head Stats
Basel have played against 11 English teams in the past, but not Manchester City.
Basel vs Manchester City: Prediction
Manchester City’s win doesn’t pay more than 1.36, which is not that surprising. Still, it’s low, so we need something else to make their win really worth it, betting-wise.
Basel vs Manchester City: Betting Tips
Given that this is a Manchester City game, the rather… obvious choice is to go for their win combined with over 2.5 goals. Like that, it pays 1.83. Do keep in mind though that City have had several injury issues these last weeks, several players had to play back-to-back games because they simply couldn’t afford to get a rest, and they last played on Saturday. My point is, I do expect them to win, but I don’t expect them to… run wild, I see them keep a clean sheet and score up to two goals. “City and under 2.5 goals” pays 4.00, I do realize it comes with a major risk, but at 4.00, and for the reasons mentioned, I find it a risk worth taking.
More UEFA Champions League betting tips and match previews: