Bayern Munich vs PSG
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Date: 5 December 2017
Kick-off: 20:45 CET
Given that Bayern Munich’s win two weeks ago at Anderlecht wasn’t paying more than 1.30, I took the risk to suggest “Bayern and under 3.5 goals”, at 2.50, which suited my 0-3 hunch. My hunch was wrong, Anderlecht scored, but the tip still came good, as Bayern won 2-1. Jupp Heynckes’ team are three points behind leaders PSG, and to finish first in the group they need not just a win, but a 4-0, 5-1, and so on, a victory by at least four goals. Not even three will be enough, after their 3-0 defeat in Paris earlier this year. Realistically, Bayern’s goal in this match is to… make a statement, not finish first. Carlo Ancelotti was fired right after Bayern’s 3-0 loss at Parc des Princes. Ever since then, Bayern have been awesome, under Heynckes. They have won 10 of their 11 matches (including a Cup qualification over RB Leipzig on penalties), they’ve lost just once (at Gladbach, something over a week ago), a loss they bounced back from, beating Hannover 3-1 at home last weekend. So, the statement they want to make, is “we are Bayern, we are back, we are not the same team that got embarrassed in Paris”. The bigger the win in this game, the better. But even a 1-0 or 2-1, will be enough to send a message to everyone that… Bayern are here.
What was that?! PSG just lost their first Ligue 1 match of the season, at Strasbourg(!), 2-1, despite the fact that most of the regulars were there. Even so, they remain leaders, by far, having already proved in much bigger games that they rule this season in France, after last year’s “break”. They will finish first in the group, even if they lose to Bayern, as long as that doesn’t happen by more than three goals. As previously mentioned, Bayern want to make a statement in this game, winning it, even by just 1-0. Same way, PSG have a point to make themselves. They triumphed over Bayern in times when the Bavarians were looking bad (3-0, in September), and they want to beat them again now, now that they look great, impressive, almost scary. Two weeks ago, seeing PSG’s win at just 1.10, and even “over 3.5 goals” as low as 1.50, I risked with “over 4.5 goals”, at 2.10, and PSG went on to thrash Celtic 7-1(!).
Previous five matches:
Bayern vs Hannover 3-1
Gladbach vs Bayern 2-1
Anderlecht vs Bayern 1-2
Bayern vs Augsburg 3-0
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern 1-3
Strasbourg vs PSG 2-1
PSG vs Troyes 2-0
Monaco vs PSG 1-2
PSG vs Celtic 7-1
PSG vs Nantes 4-1
Bayern’s next game is on Saturday, at Eintracht Frankfurt (Germany Bundesliga). Same day, PSG will be hosting Lille (France Ligue 1).
Bayern Munich vs PSG: Head to head Stats
Bayern have hosted PSG three times in the past. They lost 1-0 in 1994, but beat them 5-1(!) in 1997, and 2-0 in 2000. All three were Champions League matches.
Bayern Munich vs PSG: Prediction
Bayern are given a small advantage to win the game, and I agree with that. Also, I expect goals, several goals, from both sides.
Bayern Munich vs PSG: Betting Tips
Bayern’s double chance is at 1.45. Their win in “draw no bet” pays 1.75. If I bet on their win without the safety net of “draw no bet”, I would go all for all, combining “over 2.5 goals” as well, so as to hope for a very good 3.10.
More UEFA Champions League betting tips and match previews:
- Manchester United vs CSKA Moscow
- Celtic vs Anderlecht
- Chelsea vs Atletico Madrid
- Roma vs Qarabag
- Barcelona vs Sporting
- Olympiakos vs Juventus
- Benfica vs Basel
- Maribor vs Sevilla
- Liverpool vs Spartak Moscow
- Feyenoord vs Napoli
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Manchester City
- RB Leipzig vs Besiktas
- Porto vs Monaco
- Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund
- Tottenham vs APOEL Nicosia