Germany vs Saudi Arabia
Competition: International friendly
Date: 8 June 2018
Kick-off: 19:30 CET
Mesut Ozil will sit out, having injured his knee in practice a couple of days ago, but according to reports, the problem is not really serious, he’s missing this game just as a precaution. Ever since the announcement of the names of the players who made it to the final 23-man list, it’s been all about Leroy Sane in Germany. Simple fans, but even prominent figures of the country’s football scene, like Ballack, are still… scratching their head to understand what Loew had in mind when he decided to cut the Manchester City winger. Others, have spoken against him, with words like “he shouldn’t consider himself as important as Ozil or Muller”. Whatever the reasons behind Sane’s omission, he is going to be missed. Germany don’t have a player with his characteristics, not to that extent. If they fail in Germany, many will be quick to point the finger at Loew for this specific choice of his. At least Manuel Neuer returned to action a few days ago, in Germany’s 2-1 defeat(!) to Austria.
After beating both Algeria and Greece 2-0 last month, and putting on a more than decent performance to lose “only” 2-1 to Italy, Saudi Arabia’s 3-0 defeat in Switzerland a few days ago was a slap on the face, and a “warning” of what may happen to them when they face Uruguay in Russia, another South American team, better, actually, than Peru. As I wrote in that preview, physicality is a source of concern for the Saudis. Traditionally, they are not the… toughest guys around, unlike South Americans. They looked easy prey against Peru, and they will need to give their 110% against Uruguay to avoid a similar fate. As for this game against Germany, avoiding humiliation must be their first target. If they score and keep the gap in the score up to two goals, it will be a success.
Previous five matches:
Austria vs Germany 2-1
Germany vs Brazil 0-1
Germany vs Spain 1-1
Germany vs France 2-2
England vs Germany 0-0
Saudi Arabia vs Peru 0-3
Italy vs Saudi Arabia 2-1
Saudi Arabia vs Greece 2-0
Saudi Arabia vs Algeria 2-0
Belgium vs Saudi Arabia 4-0
Germany’s next game is against Mexico, on June 17, their first in the group stage of the World Cup finals. Saudi Arabia will be facing hosts Russia next Thursday, the first game of football’s… month-long fiesta.
Germany vs Saudi Arabia: Head to head Stats
Germany and Saudi Arabia have met twice before. Germany won 3-0 in a friendly game in 1998, and 8-0(!!) in the group stage of the 2002 World Cup finals.
Germany vs Saudi Arabia: Prediction
The game is held in Leverkusen, Germany. The hosts are considered almost certain winners, with their victory paying less than 1.10.
Germany vs Saudi Arabia: Betting Tips
“Over 3.5 goals”, at 1.80, looks good to me. Peru scored three past Saudi Arabia a few days ago, at a neutral venue. It may seem like an over-simplistic way of thinking, but if Peru did that well against Saudi Arabia, Germany, at home, should be expected to score at least one more goal than Peru. “Over 4.5 goals” pays much-much better, 2.75.