Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce
Competition: Poland Ekstraklasa
Date: 12 December 2017
Kick-off: 18:00 CET
After Sunday’s Manchester City win at Manchester United, Jose Mourinho said that currently, “the gods of football are protecting City”, since everything they’re doing is going their way. Obviously, City and Jagiellonia have 0.01% in common, but it does feel that… they have some protection from “high up”, earning more and more points in matches that they are not really the better team on the pitch. Last weekend’s 1-0 win of theirs at Sandecja Nowy Sacz was a typical example. A game which should have ended in a draw, a result both teams should be perfectly fine with, given how the game went, actually ended in a 1-0 Jaga win. Credit to Kelemen, who denied Kolev (the Bulgarian missed his chance from the penalty spot), credit to Novikovas as well, who took perfect advantage of Jagiellonia’s penalty, earlier in the second half. Second straight 1-0 win for Jaga, third sport in the table, just three points behind leaders Gornik Zabrze.
I have to admit it, in a… masochistic way, I enjoyed Korona’s defeat to Arka last weekend. “Masochistic”, because I had suggested a win of theirs. The reason why I “enjoyed” it, was that a week earlier they had a fantastic opportunity to beat Cracovia in Krakow, but their coach, Lettieri, chose to take zero risk, and in the end he even substituted a striker with a center-back, in a clear sign that he was fine with the 2-2 draw. My point is, when a game is begging you to win it, you do it. You make the one-two moves needed to win it, because not all games are the same. Against Arka, everything went against Korona, every single little detail. Now, they are on one point from their last two games. If they hadn’t “chickened out” at Cracovia, they would have three.
Previous five matches:
Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Pogon Szczecin 1-0
Gornik Zabrze vs Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Nieciecza 0-0
Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2
Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia 0-3
Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce 2-2
Korona Kielce vs Zaglebie Lubin 2-0
Korona Kielce vs Legia Warsaw 3-2
Zaglebie Lubin vs Korona Kielce 0-0
Jagiellonia’s next game is at Slask Wroclaw on Friday. Same day, Korona will be hosting Piast Gliwice (both Poland Ekstraklasa matches, last ones before the long winter break).
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce: Head to head Stats
Two wins for Jagiellonia, one for Korona, and two draws, in the last five games between these two in Bialystok. Three of those five matches went over 2.5 goals.
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce: Prediction
Jagiellonia seem to have the… know-how, when it comes to earning points in matches that they don’t really dominate, matches they are not even particularly good in. Korona have looked disappointing in their last two games, as if they are running out of steam, just before the long winter break. Very tricky game… All things considered, I’m backing Korona to avoid defeat, despite their low morale. I expect Jaga to create super few chances, and I can’t accept that they will get that lucky again, so as to “steal” yet another 1-0 game.
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce: Betting Tips
Korona’s double chance pays 1.75, which I prefer to Jagiellonia’s win at 2.00. Their win in “draw no bet” is at 2.60, and this may look… suicidal, given how both teams have done the last two weeks, but Korona do have the players to beat any team anywhere (obviously, in Poland), they just need a good start in the game to impose their own rule, even in Bialystok.
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