Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Pogon Szczecin
Competition: Poland Ekstraklasa
Date: 1 December 2017
Kick-off: 18:00 CET
Gornik Zabrze’s win (2.45), and Gornik’s win combined with “over 2.5 goals” (3.70) were my two tips last weekend when Jagiellonia Bialystok traveled to Zabrze, and the hosts won that game indeed, 3-1. Jagiellonia were the ones who took the lead just four minutes into the game (Ukrainian Romanchuk scored his fourth goal of the season), they actually had chances to make it 0-2, Gornik started the game very slowly, but after the equalizer in the 41st minute, the Bialystok side kind of… lost heart(?), hardly threatening Gornik’s goalkeeper, and going on to concede three more goals. One of those was disallowed after the VAR system was used, but either way, there is no doubt that Jagiellonia didn’t deserve a point in Zabrze, not the way they played in the second half. They sit 6th in the table, five points behind leaders Gornik.
Pogon Szczecin’s win last weekend over Piast Gliwice was paying less than Piast’s double chance, I had little doubt to suggest the latter at 1.95, and Pogon failed indeed to beat Piast, the game ended in a 2-2 draw, but truth is, Pogon were dominant for 95 minutes, and the score is really harsh to them. To get an idea, Piast equalized 2-2 in the 82nd minute, and Pogon had not one or two, but three big chances (one of those, double) to take the lead again, after that. The positive for the Szczecin team is that they finally earned a point, after losing five matches in a row. The negative is… obvious, they didn’t win a game they deserved to win, and they remain without a victory since August 19!! August! No mistake there. They haven’t won a match in almost three and a half months, so… no wonder they are at the bottom of the table, seven whole points behind penultimate Piast. On another note, I feel like taking, virtually, my hat off to Pogon’s fans, the few thousand of those who went to the stadium last weekend. The weather was so bad that kick-off was delayed for half an hour, it was snowing/raining non-stop, it was freezing cold, their team hadn’t won in months, had lost five consecutive games, but despite aaaall that, a few thousand people still went to the stadium and… persevered, earning my deep respect. Hat off.
Previous five matches:
Gornik Zabrze vs Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Nieciecza 0-0
Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Zaglebie Lubin 3-1
Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok 4-1
Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice 2-2
Wisla Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin 1-0
Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warsaw 1-3
Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin 3-0
Pogon Szczecin vs Nieciecza 2-3
Jagiellonia’s next game is at Sandecja Nowy Sacz, next Friday. Two days later, Pogon will be hosting Zaglebie Lubin (both Poland Ekstraklasa matches).
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Pogon Szczecin: Head to head Stats
Three wins for Jagiellonia and two draws in the last five games between these two in Bialystok. Two of those five matches went over 2.5 goals.
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Pogon Szczecin: Prediction
I have been betting against Pogon for weeks now, my… anti-Pogon-ism (not really. I just played along, seeing how vulnerable they were) has paid off big time, but… believe it or not, despite the fact that they are visiting one of the strongest teams in the league, this is the first time in weeks and weeks (more like… months), that I’m very hesitant to go against Pogon, feeling that maybe, just maybe, the time has come for them to get a big result. I’m going for goals instead.
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Pogon Szczecin: Betting Tips
“Over 2.5 goals” is at 2,00, and that’s my only tip, the only one I feel comfortable making, considering Jagiellonia’s win much-much riskier than what its 1.78 suggests.
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