Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze
Competition: Poland Ekstraklasa
Date: 7 April 2018
Kick-off: 18:00 CET
Lech Poznan… blocked Wisla Krakow in the second half of their game there last weekend, won 1-3, and took perfect advantage of the defeats of Jagiellonia Bialystok and Legia Warsaw. They leapfrogged Legia in the table, and closed the gap on leaders Jagiellonia to just two points, meaning… one, as all teams will have their points halved right after the last games of regular season. Of course, Lech can still leave Jaga behind them, if they win this game, and Jagiellonia lose theirs. Christian Gytkjær was their man of the match in Krakow, scoring all three goals. Lech were lucky to equalise just before halftime from the penalty spot, but in the second half they didn’t need any luck. They were super clever, they didn’t allow Wisla a single chance, and every few minutes they went on a counterattack that looked like a potential goal. All in all, they outsmarted Wisla, and deserved all three points, no doubt.
Gornik leave… half of me admiring them, and half of me feeling like making fun of them(!). They always create a lot of chances, they score, they are amazing fun to watch, and in the first half of the season they had some impressive results. On the other hand, they concede like crazy, as if they are two teams, with… professionals creating and scoring goals, and amateurs defending (not that it’s only the defenders’ and the goalkeeper’s fault that they concede that much). Last weekend, they were leading 2-1 at home, they were hosting the weakest side of the Ekstraklasa, Sandecja Nowy Sacz, but they still got equalised, their third straight 2-2 in the championship. Midweek, they drew 1-1 at home to Legia Warsaw, in the first leg of their Poland Cup semifinal tie against the reigning champions. Gornik are fourth in the table, and they want to remain there, so as to play four games at home in the “championship round”, instead of three, which will be the case if they fall 5th.
Previous five matches:
Wisla Krakow vs Lech Poznan 1-3
Lech Poznan vs Lechia Gdansk 3-0
Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok 5-1
Legia Warsaw vs Lech Poznan 2-1
Lech Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw 2-1
Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warsaw 1-1
Gornik Zabrze vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz 2-2
Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze 2-2
Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin 2-2
Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze 0-3
Both teams’ next game will be determined after this final game week of the Ekstraklasa regular season.
Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze: Head to head Stats
Three wins for Lech and two draws in the last five games between these two in Poznan. Three of those five matches went over 2.5 goals.
Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze: Prediction
Lech are considered big favourites to win, their victory pays 1,57, but I prefer to bet on goals, counting on Gornik to score at least once.
Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze: Betting Tips
“Both teams to score” pays 1.85, more than “over 2.5 goals”(!). That’s my only tip, suiting my 2-1 hunch.
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