Nacional Asuncion vs 3 de Febrero
Competition: Paraguay Apertura
Date: 19 February 2018
Kick-off: 22:00 CET
Nacional Asunción have an… interesting way of “escaping” from bad results/poor performances. Last weekend they got humiliated 4-0 at lowly Independiente Campo Grande, but the hosts fielded a player who may not have been eligible to play, Nacional took the case to the Paraguayan FA, and they could still win the three points. There is no decision yet. Midweek, they hosted Mineros de Guayana in the Copa Sudamericana first round. It was the first leg, they needed to score at least once, definitely not concede, they managed the latter, failed big in the former. Not only they didn’t score, but generally they looked rather harmless, creating few chances, and not really huge ones. A very disappointing performance for the Asunción side, but again, I repeat, they have an interesting way of… staying afloat. They didn’t concede, meaning that a draw with goals in Venezuela, in the return leg, not necessarily a win, just a draw with goals, will be enough for them to qualify for the second round of the competition.
I have no intention or reason to take anything away from 3 de Febrero’s success last weekend, their 1-1 draw at home versus reigning champions Cerro Porteño, but truth is, they needed a good deal of luck to earn that point. They could have finished the game having conceded 3-4 goals. Instead, somehow, Cerro got “stuck” to one, and 3 de Febrero scored in one of the very few chances they created themselves. First point in the Apertura for the Ciudad del Este side, after losing on their debut two weeks ago, at Deportivo Santaní.
Previous five matches:
Nacional vs Mineros de Guayana 0-0
Independiente CG vs Nacional 4-0
Nacional vs Cerro Porteno 2-1
Libertad vs Nacional 0-2
Nacional vs Independiente CG 5-0
3 de Febrero vs Cerro Porteno 1-1
Deportivo Santani vs 3 de Febrero 1-0
Guaireña vs 3 de Febrero 1-2
3 de Febrero vs General Caballero 1-1
Fulgencio Yegros vs 3 de Febrero 0-1
Nacional’s next game is at General Díaz, on Sunday. 3 de Febrero will be visiting Sol de América (both Paraguay Apertura matches).
Nacional Asuncion vs 3 de Febrero: Head to head Stats
Nacional haven’t hosted 3 de Febrero since August 2014. They won that game 1-0. A couple of months earlier, they had drawn 0-0 in Asunción. Before that, they hadn’t hosted them since 2011.
Nacional Asuncion vs 3 de Febrero: Prediction
Nacional are considered favourites to pick up all three points. Their Sudamericana game was on Thursday, and at home, meaning that they had more than enough time to recover. I’m backing them to win, despite having disliked the way they looked in their last two matches.
Nacional Asuncion vs 3 de Febrero: Betting Tips
At 2.00, I’m leaving aside my reservations, and I’m betting on Nacional’s win. After 180 very poor offensively minutes against Independiente Campo Grande and Mineros de Guayana, I don’t trust them to score more than once, but I do see them win.
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