Olimpia Asuncion vs Montevideo Wanderers
Competition: Copa Libertadores
Date: 27 January 2018
Kick-off: 00:15 CET
A 0-0 away from home in the first leg of a tie is not a bad result, but Olimpia Asunción must be beating themselves up for not scoring in Montevideo. Not necessarily for not winning (Wanderers had some chances as well), but for not scoring, yes, for sure. The Paraguayan side were far more attacking, they dominated most of the first half, same thing after the 60th minute, had a shot on the horizontal post, a goal that was correctly disallowed as offside, a huge chance missed in the end, other smaller chances earlier in the match, and all in all deserved at least one goal. Montevideo’s 0-0 has left them in a… rather awkward position, favourites, in the sense that they are playing at home against a team not better than them, but obliged to win, as any draw (other than 0-0) will knock them out of the competition incredibly early. The championship in Paraguay hasn’t started yet.
Given how the first leg at home went, Montevideo Wanderers should be feeling lucky to have… escaped with a goalless draw. They did have a shot on the post in the first half, one or two more chances to open the scoring, but looking at the 90 minutes as a whole, there is no doubt Wanderers were second best on the pitch. Wanderers took part in the Copa Libertadores qualifiers last season as well, falling in the second round. The last time they managed to make it to the group stage was in 2015. The new season in Uruguay hasn’t started yet, so the first leg against Olimpia is the only official match they have played since early December. They have lost five of the seven Copa Libertadores games they have given away from home since 2008 (qualifiers and group stage combined).
Previous five matches:
Wanderers vs Olimpia 0-0
Deportivo Capiatá vs Olimpia 1-2
Olimpia vs Libertad 1-0
Independiente FBC vs Olimpia 1-3
Olimpia vs Sportivo Trinidense 2-0
Wanderers vs Olimpia 0-0
Juventud vs Wanderers 2-5
Wanderers vs Sud América 1-0
Defensor Sporting vs Wanderers 2-1
Wanderers vs Rampla Juniors 1-0
Whoever qualifies, will host Junior (from Barranquilla, Colombia), on February 1, in the first leg of a Copa Libertadores second qualifying round tie.
Olimpia Asuncion vs Montevideo Wanderers: Head to head Stats
Olimpia have hosted Wanderers just once before, back in 1983. That Copa Libertadores group stage match ended in a 3-2 Wanderers win.
Olimpia Asuncion vs Montevideo Wanderers: Prediction
Olimpia are considered big favourites to win (and obviously to qualify), something totally justified if you watched the first leg. I agree with that, expecting the hosts to beat Wanderers even by just one goal.
Olimpia Asuncion vs Montevideo Wanderers: Betting Tips
A simple Olimpia win pays 1.53. I expect them to score relatively early, opening the game up, and leading to a total of at least three goals. “Over 2.5 combined goals” is at 2.30 betting odds, and if you find a betting company that offers “Olimpia and over 2.5”, even better.
More Copa Libertadores betting tips and match previews: