PAS Giannina vs Lamia
Competition: Greece Super League
Date: 10 December 2017
Kick-off: 16:15 CET
PAS Giannina’s double chance last weekend, when they visited AEL Larissa, was just under 1.50, and felt like a great add-on to another bet. Their win in “draw no bet” was at 2.05, and the reason why I included the safety net of “draw no bet” was that AEL had been looking decent for weeks, proving me wrong again and again (not expecting them to do so well). I wrote back then that Giannina’s win without “draw no bet’ was worth the risk only combined with “over 2.5 goals”. That way, it was paying a massive 6.50. It didn’t, after all, despite the fact that PAS had more and bigger chances than Larissa, in a game that ended in a 1-1 draw. It was Giannina’s fourth (including a Cup match) 1-1 draw in a row, before that they had lost, so… three points from their last four matches have them 8th in the table, closer to the relegation zone rather than the top-4. Mind you, Pedro Conde scored again, his seventh in the super League thus far, a tally that has him first in the scorers’ list.
About what happened in last weekend’s “you’ve got to be kidding me” Lamia vs Panetolikos, I suggest you read yesterday’s Panetolikos vs Olympiakos preview. There is something I “owe” from yesterday though, the reason why a second Lamia player got sent off, right after his team’s added-time (7th minute!) goal. It was goalkeeper Papadopoulos (a super… “rare” Greek surname, I know), who had gone forward to Panetolikos’ box for the last effort to equalize, from a corner-kick. Seeing the ball go in, the young Lamia keeper, who was standing a meter away from the referee, lost it, lost control, he just HAD TO celebrate with someone, and… unlucky he, the closest one was the referee, whom he grabbed by the shoulders!!!, and shook him for a couple of seconds!!!, before realizing that probably, that wasn’t a very clever thing. Turned out, indeed it wasn’t. The ref followed the rule, and… showing zero tolerance to Papadopoulos’ crazy excitement, showed him a direct red card. “Told” you yesterday that the reason would make you laugh… “Draw” alone, at 2.90, was my only tip back then, and… we definitely got lucky, but it came good, even in the 7th minute of added time. Lamia have three wins and five draws in their last eight matches(!), haven’t lost since October 15 (4-0 at PAOK).
Previous five matches:
AEL Larissa vs PAS Giannina 1-1
Aris vs PAS Giannina 1-1
PAS Giannina vs Xanthi 1-1
PAS Giannina vs Panetolikos 1-1
Apollon vs PAS Giannina 4-3
Lamia vs Panetolikos 2-2
Apollon Larissa vs Lamia 0-2
Apollon Smyrnis vs Lamia 1-1
Lamia vs Kerkyra 1-1
Levadiakos vs Lamia 0-0
Giannina’s next game is at Olympiakos, next Sunday. Same day, Lamia will be hosting AEL Larissa (both Greece Super League matches).
PAS Giannina vs Lamia: Head to head Stats
PAS haven’t hosted Lamia since 2005. It was a Third Division game, which PAS won 1-0.
PAS Giannina vs Lamia: Prediction
As previously mentioned, Lamia haven’t hosted in almost two months, but I feel their… time has come. I will be surprised if PAS don’t win, and if Conde doesn’t score.
PAS Giannina vs Lamia: Betting Tips
Giannina’s win pays 1.67. “Over 2.5 goals” pays a massive 2.75, and these two combined promise an excellent 3.40. If you find a bookie offering “Giannina win and Conde to score anytime”, go for it.