RB Leipzig vs Besiktas
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Date: 6 December 2017
Kick-off: 20:45 CET
RB Leipzig played their best game in the group stage two weeks ago when they visited Monaco, actually one of their best games of the season thus far, Bundesliga included, not just beating last season’s Champions League semifinalists (and Ligue 1 champions), but humiliating them 4-1. Even so, RB Leipzig are not favorites to finish in the top-2. They are level on points with Porto, they have beaten them in one of their two games earlier this season, but their 3-2 victory is not as good as Porto’s 3-1. That extra goal Porto scored in Germany, is what has them second right now, and what has RB Leipzig with their back against the wall, needing a result better than the one Porto will get against Monaco at home. In other words, if Porto lose, Leipzig need at least a draw. If Porto draw, Leipzig need to win. Last, if Porto win, it’s all over for Leipzig, regardless of what they do in their game. Last weekend they got embarrassed 4-0 at Hoffenheim. They are still second in Germany’s Bundesliga, but now six points behind leaders Bayern Munich.
“Draw”, at 3.20, was my tip two weeks ago when Besiktas hosted Porto, explaining how it was a result that suited both. That game ended 1-1. The Turkey champions remained undefeated, and secured the first spot in the final table. Porto on the other side, remained favorites to finish second, as they have the advantage over RB Leipzig if they finish level on points. Besiktas started the group stage with three – impressive – wins, but have… slowed down ever since, now having back-to-back draws. As previously mentioned, they have already secured the top spot in the table, they will finish there regardless of what happens in their last game. Last weekend they triumphed 3-0 over – former leaders – Galatasaray. They are 4th in the table in Turkey’s Super Lig, four points behind – new – leaders Istanbul Basaksehir.
Previous five matches:
Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig 4-0
RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen 2-0
Monaco vs RB Leipzig 1-4
Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig 2-2
RB Leipzig vs Hannover 2-1
Besiktas vs Galatasaray 3-0
Besiktas vs Manisaspor 9-0
Yeni Malatyaspor vs Besiktas 0-0
Besiktas vs Porto 1-1
Besiktas vs Akhisarspor 0-0
RB Leipzig’s next game is on Saturday, again at home, versus Mainz (Germany Bundesliga). A day later, Besiktas will be visiting Kayserispor (Turkey Super Lig).
RB Leipzig vs Besiktas: Head to head Stats
RB Leipzig have never hosted Besiktas before.
RB Leipzig vs Besiktas: Prediction
I will be very surprised if Leipzig don’t win, but their victory pays too little, so I’m looking elsewhere for better odds.
RB Leipzig vs Besiktas: Betting Tips
A simple Leipzig win pays just 1.30. My main tip is “under 2.5 goals”, at 2.25, because I don’t expect Besiktas to score, and I don’t see why Leipzig will take big risks to score more after taking the lead, and even more, if they go 2-0 up. “Leipzig and under 2.5 goals” pays a very-very good 3.60.
More UEFA Champions League betting tips and match previews:
- Manchester United vs CSKA Moscow
- Bayern Munich vs PSG
- Celtic vs Anderlecht
- Chelsea vs Atletico Madrid
- Roma vs Qarabag
- Barcelona vs Sporting
- Benfica vs Basel
- Maribor vs Sevilla
- Liverpool vs Spartak Moscow
- Olympiakos vs Juventus
- Feyenoord vs Napoli
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Manchester City
- Porto vs Monaco
- Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund
- Tottenham vs APOEL Nicosia