AEL Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis
Competition: Greece Super League
Date: 30 March 2019
Kick-off: 18:30 CET
Three Super League games are played on Saturday; a “do or die” between Levadiakos and PAS Giannina, a “who cares?” between Lamia and Panionios, and this match between AEL Larissa and Asteras Tripolis. The title I would give to this one? “Just don’t lose”. AEL are on 27 points, as many as Asteras. The closest team to them (looking… lower in the table), is PAS Giannina. Most probably, whoever finishes 13th (a spot currently occupied by PAS), will have to go through playoffs against the second-placed team of the Football League (second division). “Most probably”, because… please read the relevant lines in the Levadiakos vs PAS preview. If PAS win in Livadia, they go up to 26 points. If AEL lose, they get stuck to 27, and Asteras… fly to 30. A more… realistic scenario, has PAS not winning in Livadia. In that case, a draw in Larissa would be “ok” for both”, not because they wouldn’t want to win (and pretty much secure their stay in the Super League), but because they would be more afraid of losing, whatever that means about the risk both teams would take during the 90 minutes.
Whatever stands for AEL right now, exactly the same stands for Asteras. On 27 points, four ahead of 13th-placed PAS Giannina, they need to stay at least 12th, so as to avoid the… horrifying obligation of having to face a Football League team in playoffs, at the end of the season. Coach Giorgos Paraschos would love to have Argentinian defensive midfielder Matías Iglesias at his disposal, but the South American has to sit out, not just this weekend, but the next one as well (he reached seven yellow cards).
Previous five matches:
PAS Giannina vs AEL Larissa 0-0
AEL Larissa vs Levadiakos 2-0
OFI Crete vs AEL Larissa 0-0
Lamia vs AEL Larissa 2-1
AEL Larissa vs Xanthi 1-1
Asteras Tripolis vs Lamia 0-0
Xanthi vs Asteras Tripolis 0-0
Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos 3-0
Asteras Tripolis vs Ergotelis 4-1
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos 1-1
AEL are visiting Panionios next weekend (Super League). Asteras’ are visiting PAOK on Wednesday (Greece Cup semifinal first leg).
AEL Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis: Head to head Stats
Just one win for AEL, two for Asteras, and two draws, in the last five games between these two in Larissa.
AEL Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis: Prediction
This is sort of funny… The fact that companies pay 2.55 for draw, and 3.05 each for AEL and Asteras’ win, gives you a clear-clear idea what to expect. “Just don’t lose”, that’s what both teams will have in mind, especially if, most-most probably, PAS Giannina have not won in Livadia half an hour earlier.
AEL Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis: Betting Tips
Common sense… Draw, 2.55, going up to 2.80 if combined with “under 2.5 goals”. “Accidents” happen, a defender may… slip, the ball can find someone’s hand, a penalty can change things, but really, draw makes perfect sense in this match, for both teams, for us as well, betting on that.