AGMK vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
Competition: AFC Champions League
Date: 12 February 2019
Kick-off: 12:00 CET
What an occasion for AGMK… This is their first official international match ever, a… privilege they earned after winning the Cup in Uzbekistan last season. Obviously, this is their first appearance in the AFC Champions League as well. Another… eye-catching detail about AGMK is that last season they did so poorly in their national championship, that they had to go through a play-off match to avoid relegation(!). They finished third-to-last, so they faced the third-placed team of the second division, in a single match. Their 1-0 win guaranteed them another season in Uzbekistan’s top division. That was their last official match, back on December 4.
Just like AGMK, Istiqlol Dushanbe are appearing in the AFC Champions League for the very first time in their history. They are the reigning champions in Tajikistan. Their championship ended on November 11, and haven’t played an official match since then. A week ago, they beat Russian side Tom Tomsk 2-1 in a friendly match, looking well. Playing away from home in a single match that decides your future in a big competition is not… ideal, there is no return leg back home for the Tajik champions, but looking at the four hosts in this Tuesday’s matches in the West Region, I’m under the impression that Istiqlol do stand a chance, bigger than if they had to face some other team. Both are inexperienced in games of this level/significance, so facing AGMK and not a much stronger opponent leaves Istiqlol room for optimism.
Previous five matches:
AGMK vs Istiklol Fergana 1-0
AGMK vs Qizilqum 3-0
Nasaf vs AGMK 2-2
AGMK vs Kokand-1912 1-3
Sogdiana vs AGMK 1-0
Tom Tomsk vs Istiqlol 1-2
Barki Tajik vs Istiqlol 0-2
Istiqlol vs CSKA Pomir 0-1
Panjsher vs Istiqlol 0-2
Istiqlol vs Khujand 1-0
Neither AGMK nor Istiqlol have a next game scheduled yet.
AGMK vs Istiqlol Dushanbe: Head to head Stats
This is AGMK’s first AFC competition match ever.
AGMK vs Istiqlol Dushanbe: Prediction
Uzbekistan’s championship is stronger than that of Tajikistan, generally their football is better than that of Tajikistan, their national team as well, but… AGMK are not exactly a top team in the country, regardless of the fact that they won the Cup last season, and the ticket to the AFC CL qualifiers. I’m actually backing Tajikistan’s champions to at least push the game to extra-time.
AGMK vs Istiqlol Dushanbe: Betting Tips
Istiqlol’s double chance is at 1.90, somewhat higher than AGMK’s win. The visitors’ win in “draw no bet” pays 3.25.