AIK vs Sheriff
Competition: UEFA Europa League
Date: 15 August 2019
Kick-off: 19:00 CET
“Over 2.5 goals” (2.35), and the same combined with “both teams to score” (2.70) were the two tips here last week, when AIK visited Sheriff, and… both teams made sure to deliver, AIK more so than Sheriff. The Swedish side took a 0-2 lead in the first 15 minutes, and ended up winning 1-2, as Sheriff scored from the penalty spot early in the second half. What’s ironic is that AIK scored twice, while having only one attempt on target(!). Their first goal was an own-goal. Generally, they finished the game on just six attempts, and not a single corner won, which makes that final 1-2 rather… misleading. Their coach, Rikard Norling, would love to have 33-year-old Nigerian striker Chinedu Obasi available, he missed the first leg due to injury, and on Tuesday it looked like he would remain sidelined. On Sunday, AIK beat AFC Eskilstuna 2-4 away from home, despite conceding first.
Sheriff finished the game last week on 13 attempts, more than double those of AIK, five on target (as previously mentioned, the Swedes had just one), but good numbers alone are not enough to win you games, and the Tiraspol side got punished for not looking more effective in front of goal. They did on Sunday, when they beat Dinamo-Auto 0-3 on the road, but obviously AIK are at a whole different level. It’s worth mentioning that Sheriff have already won two games on the road in UEFA competition qualifiers earlier this summer, they beat Saburtalo 1-3 in Georgia, and Partizani Tirana 0-1 in Albania, but I repeat, AIK are obviously at a very different level.
Previous five matches:
AFC Eskilstuna vs AIK 2-4
Sheriff vs AIK 1-2
AIK vs Maribor 3-2
Sirius vs AIK 0-2
Maribor vs AIK 2-1
Dinamo-Auto vs Sheriff 0-3
Sheriff vs AIK 1-2
Sheriff vs Zimbru 3-0
Sheriff vs Partizani 1-1
Partizani Tirana vs Sheriff Tiraspol 0-1
AIK’s next game is on Sunday, again at home, versus Kalmar (Sweden championship). Same day, Sheriff will be hosting Milsami (Moldova championship).
AIK vs Sheriff: Head to head Stats
Last week’s game was the first ever between these two.
AIK vs Sheriff: Prediction
I’m following the same approach I have followed in all AIK qualifying matches these last weeks, I’m leaving winners and losers aside, betting on goals.
AIK vs Sheriff: Betting Tips
“Over 2.5 goals” is at 2.05. Combined with “both teams to score”, it pays better, 2.70. Take a look at how all AIK games have been these last weeks, and you’ll see that they… love playing their part in producing high-score results.