Ajax vs Dynamo Kiev
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Date: 22 August 2018
Kick-off: 21:00 CET
“Over 2.5 goals” (1.57) was my main tip last week when Ajax hosted Standard Liege, but finding it low, I risked combining it with “both teams to score” (2.10), expecting the Belgian side to lose, but score. Ajax ended up winning the game 3-0, leading 2-0 at halftime, and scoring their third goal seconds into the second half. They had drawn 2-2 in Belgium, a week earlier. In the previous qualifying round they had scored five goals past Sturm Graz, two in Amsterdam and three in Austria. Five past Sturm, five past Standard, 10 goals in four matches, against decent teams, not unknown sides from “obscure” football countries. Interestingly, they have scored just two goals in two games in their championship thus far, drawing 1-1 at home with Heracles(!) on their debut, 10 days ago, and winning 0-1 at Venlo last weekend. Their winner came from the penalty spot in the 88th minute. Guess when they had scored against Heracles as well; 88th minute(!).
Dynamo Kiev hosted Slavia Prague last week having drawn 1-1 in the Czech Republic a week earlier, in the first leg. The Ukrainian side took the lead in the 11th minute (Benjamin Verbič), their scorer in Prague, netted again), but they were still… on alert, as a single Slavia goal would send the tie to extra-time. Artem Besedin made it 2-0 in the 74th minute, and at that point, it was all over, pretty much, as Slavia needed not one, but two goals, against a Dynamo side that had conceded just one goal in five official matches. They are now at one in seven matches, they have kept a clean sheet in six of their seven games, as they beat Oleksandria as well last weekend, 1-0, once again, not conceding. It will be super interesting how they will do defensively against Ajax, who have scored 10 goals in four CL qualifying matches these last weeks.
Previous five matches:
Venlo vs Ajax 0-1
Ajax vs Standard Liege 3-0
Ajax vs Heracles 1-1
Standard Liege vs Ajax 2-2
Ajax vs Wolfsburg 0-3
Dynamo Kiev vs Oleksandria 1-0
Dynamo Kiev vs Slavia Prague 2-0
Slavia Prague vs Dynamo Kiev 1-1
Dynamo Kiev vs Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0
Lviv vs Dynamo Kiev 0-1
Ajax’s next game is on Saturday, again at home, versus Emmen (Netherlands championship). Same day, Dynamo will be visiting Chornomorets (Ukraine championship).
Ajax vs Dynamo Kiev: Head to head Stats
Ajax have hosted Dynamo once before, in 2010. Again, it was a Champions League play-offs game, which the Dutch side won 2-1.
Ajax vs Dynamo Kiev: Prediction
Ajax are considered big favorites to win the game. Personally, I prefer to bet on goals.
Ajax vs Dynamo Kiev: Betting Tips
“Under 2.5 goals”, at 1.80, is my main tip, expecting Dynamo to neutralize, up to some point, what appears to be a very productive Ajax side. The hosts’ clean sheet, at 2.20, is my second tip. They kept a clean sheet at home against Strum Graz and Standard Liege, and Dynamo are not exactly… goal machines.