Akhisarspor vs Sevilla
Competition: UEFA Europa League
Date: 8 November 2018
Kick-off: 18:55 CET
“Sevilla and over 3.5 goals” (1.78), and “Sevilla and over 4.5 goals” (2.55), were my two tips two weeks ago when Akhisarspor visited Spain, and looking back, I could have… risked even more. The game was at 5-0 by the 60th minute(!). Akhisarspor conceded again soon after that, and – thankfully for them – Sevilla sort of… slowed down after that, not scoring again. What strikes as a bit odd is that numbers don’t justify that six-goal gap in the final score; attempts were 12-8 for Sevilla, the on target ones were 7-2, and the Turkish side even had 43% ball possession, decent, given whom they were visiting, and where. Obviously, Akhisarspor paid the price of playing against rivals who were incredibly effective in their finishes. The Turkish side are still searching for their first point in the group. They are 16th(!) in their championship, on just nine points from 11 matches, below(!) the relegation the line.
Sevilla have been phenomenal at home in the group, 5-1 triumph over Standard Liege, 6-0 party with Akhisarspor as guests, but the only time they left Sánchez-Pizjuán, they lost (2-1, at Krasnodar). They are leading in the group, on six points, but are level with Krasnodar and Standard, meaning that if they drop the ball in Turkey, they’ll get in serious trouble. Last weekend they drew 0-0 at Real Sociedad, just a few days after drawing without goals at Villanovense as well, in a Copa del Rey match (they have the return leg at home). They are third in La Liga, four points behind leaders Barcelona.
Previous five matches:
Akhisarspor vs BB Erzurumspor 1-1
Akhisarspor vs Göztepe 1-0
Sevilla vs Akhisarspor 6-0
Kasımpaşa vs Akhisarspor 5-0
Akhisarspor vs Trabzonspor 1-3
Real Sociedad vs Sevilla 0-0
Villanovense vs Sevilla 0-0
Sevilla vs Huesca 2-1
Sevilla vs Akhisarspor 6-0
Barcelona vs Sevilla 4-2
Akhisarspor’s next game is on Sunday, at Antalyaspor (Turkey championship). Same day, Sevilla will be hosting Espanyol (Spain La Liga).
Akhisarspor vs Sevilla: Head to head Stats
Sevilla have never visited Akhisarspor before.
Akhisarspor vs Sevilla: Prediction
Sevilla haven’t won in their last four games, but excluding that Copa del Rey game against Villanovense, in which they played with many reserves, their rivals have been way stronger than Akhisarspor. They should win in Turkey.
Akhisarspor vs Sevilla: Betting Tips
A simple Sevilla win pays too little, 1.20. This time, I don’t expect more than three goals. “Sevilla and under 3.5” is at 2.30. Less than 72 hours after this match, they are hosting second-placed (in La Liga) Espanyol, an awesome opportunity to climb back up second in their championship’s table. I expect them to… slow down after securing the victory in Turkey.