America Mineiro vs Vitoria
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 1 May 2018
Kick-off: 01:00 CET
If you look only at the score, 2-0, and when those two goals were scored (both in the first half), you are left with the impression that América Mineiro didn’t put on any fight last weekend in Rio de Janeiro, against Flamengo. Anything but that, actually. The Minas Gerais side created several scoring chances, and deserved at least one goal. All in all, that 2-0 is rather misleading, the game was not a walk in the park for Fla, it was a warning to other teams that América won’t be a pushover this season, not even away from home. They have three players returning from injuries, goalkeeper João Ricardo, left-back Giovanni, and central midfielder David. Center-back Lima is injured, and goalkeeper Fernando Leal has a flu. According to reports, coach Enderson Moreira will start the game with Jori, Norberto, Rafael Lima, Messias, Carlinhos, Leandro Donizete, Juninho, Serginho, Marquinhos, Aylon and Judivan. América are on three points from two matches, having beaten Sport Recife 3-0 at home two weeks ago,
América deserved better than that 2-0 defeat last weekend. Exactly the opposite could be written about Vitória. They lost 2-1 at Atlético Mineiro, a poor score, luckily for Vitória, since a 4-1 or a 5-1 would have been more appropriate. Their goal came late in the match, an own-goal, so that 2-1 is not really representative of the game, they lost almost with their hands down. In all fairness, Atlético Mineiro were great, so it’s not like Vitória could have done much to change the course of the game. Midweek, they drew 0-0 at home to Corinthians, in a Copa do Brasil game. The return leg is in Sao Paulo, on May 10. Vitória have a new striker, 29-year-old Wallyson, he was presented officially on Friday, and his papers are ready, he can play against América. The Salvador side are on one point from two Série A matches.
Previous five matches:
Flamengo vs America Mineiro 2-0
America Mineiro vs Sport Recife 3-0
America Mineiro vs Atletico Mineiro 0-2
Atletico Mineiro vs America Mineiro 1-0
America Mineiro vs Boa 1-0
Vitoria vs Corinthians 0-0
Atletico Mineiro vs Vitoria 2-1
Vitoria vs Internacional 1-0
Vitoria vs Flamengo 2-2
Internacional vs Vitoria 2-1
América’s next game is at Vasco da Gama, next weekend (Série A). Vitória are visiting Sampaio Corrêa on Tuesday (Copa do Nordeste).
America Mineiro vs Vitoria: Head to head Stats
A 4-0 América triumph and a 1-1 draw in the two games between these two in Belo Horizonte the last three years.
America Mineiro vs Vitoria: Prediction
I’m backing América to win. They were awesome in their previous home game, and even at Flamengo they showed good things. Vitória were decent at home against Flamengo, but very poor last weekend at Atlético Mineiro. It feels that away from home they lose a lot of their strength.
America Mineiro vs Vitoria: Betting Tips
América’s win pays 1.99. If you don’t share my hunch that the hosts will win, go for “over 2.5 goals”, at 2.10. Vitória have allowed countless scoring chances to their opponents in their first two games, and should have conceded way more than “just” four goals.