Argentinos Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield
Competition: Argentina Superliga
Date: 12 March 2019
Kick-off: 01:10 CET
We have been watching a totally different Argentinos Juniors side these last weeks, compared to… pretty much the entire season (until early February). They beat Estudiantes, drew at Atlético Tucumán (a top four team), beat San Lorenzo at Nuevo Gasómetro(!!), and the cherry on top was that 4-1 over Douglas Haig a few days ago, in the Copa Argentina. If you’re not familiar with Argentinian football’s smaller categories, you may be thinking “Doug-what?” Sure, Douglas Haig are not among the most well-known teams in the country, but the Copa Argentina has already had half a dozen major surprises, and the fact that Argentinos Juniors avoided falling victims to one, is their credit. Before this game, they were 20th in the “promedio” table, close to the relegation zone, but with a good gap of points between them and the teams fighting to avoid relegation.
Writing about massive surprises in the Copa Argentina… Have you heard of “Real Pilar”? They made headlines last week, eliminating Vélez Sarsfield(!!). The newspapers found interest in tracking down the profession of each Real Pilar player, and among them found people selling fish, found teachers, found guys doing all sorts of everyday jobs to make a living. Vélez got eliminated, just a few days after losing 1-2 at home to Tigre, a defeat their coach, Gabriel Heinze, called “painful”. Midweek, he got irritated by questions after their failure in the Copa Argentina, and took his anger out (verbally, not physically) on the reporters who had surrounded him. Vélez sit 6th in the Superliga table, high, but have won just one of their last five championship matches, and feels like their – untold – dream of finishing in the top four is escaping them.
Previous five matches:
Argentinos Juniors vs Douglas Haig 4-1
San Lorenzo vs Argentinos Juniors 2-3
Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors 0-0
Argentinos Juniors vs Estudiantes 2-1
Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors 2-1
Velez Sarsfield vs Real Pilar 0-1
Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre 1-2
Godoy Cruz vs Velez Sarsfield 0-2
Velez Sarsfield vs Colon 1-1
Huracan vs Velez Sarsfield 1-1
Argentinos Juniors are visiting San Martín San Juan next weekend. Vélez will be hosting Atlético Tucumán (both Superliga matches).
Argentinos Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield: Head to head Stats
Two wins for Argentinos Juniors, two for Vélez as well, and a draw, in the last five games between these two in La Paternal.
Argentinos Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield: Prediction
A month ago, I would have suggested Vélez’s victory without giving it much though. Today, I would bet against them.
Argentinos Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield: Betting Tips
Argentinos’ win in “draw no bet” is at 2.50, with their double chance at 1.73, decent.