Arsenal vs Rennes
Competition: UEFA Europa League
Date: 14 March 2019
Kick-off: 21:00 CET
In last week’s preview, when Arsenal visited Rennes, I explained why I expected the French side to score, and why I preferred betting on goals, rather than on Arsenal’s (the favorites) victory. “Both teams to score” (1.70) and the same combined with “over 2.5 goals” (2.15) were the two tips here, but Rennes… took it a couple of steps further, not just scoring and avoiding defeat, but actually beating Arsenal 3-1(!). The game started great for the Gunners, taking the lead in the third minute thanks to an Iwobi goal. Things started going wrong in the 41st minute though (Papastathopoulos got sent-off and Rennes equalized in a matter of seconds), and just… kept going wrong. Monreal scored against his own team in the 65th minute, with a third Rennes goal coming in the 88th. On Sunday they beat Manchester United 2-0 at home, leapfrogging them in the Premier League table. They now sit fourth, two points ahead of United, and three ahead of Chelsea, who, though, have a game in hand.
Rennes are… living a dream. They traveled to London with a two-goal advantage, and with the determination to… play football, not park the bus and just waste time. As I wrote last week, at this stage, they have got absolutely nothing to lose, and that “let’s just enjoy it” attitude served them very-very well in the first leg. By the way, they finished the game on almost double attempts than Arsenal (19-11), and with slightly bigger ball possession, so it’s not like they hid in their box and waited exclusively for counterattacks. What’s… creepy is that on Sunday the very same thing happened; Rennes went 0-1 down (to Caen), their rivals had a player sent-off, and then, Rennes went on to win 3-1(!). They sit 8th in the Ligue 1 table, but with a game in hand. If they win that one, they could climb up fifth.
Previous five matches:
Arsenal vs Manchester United 2-0
Rennes vs Arsenal 3-1
Tottenham vs Arsenal 1-1
Arsenal vs Bournemouth 5-1
Arsenal vs Southampton 2-0
Rennes vs Caen 3-1
Rennes vs Arsenal 3-1
Rennes vs Orleans 2-0
Rennes vs Marseille 1-1
Betis vs Rennes 1-3
Arsenal’s next game is in almost three weeks, again at home, versus Newcastle (England Premier League). Rennes are visiting Bordeaux on Sunday (France Ligue 1).
Arsenal vs Rennes: Head to head Stats
Last week’s game was the first ever between these two.
Arsenal vs Rennes: Prediction
Deep down I expect Arsenal to win and maybe even qualify, but betting-wise, I prefer to focus on goals.
Arsenal vs Rennes: Betting Tips
“Both teams to score” is at 1.85, my main tip, going up to 2.15 if combined with “over 2.5 goals”.