Astana vs Dynamo Kiev
Competition: UEFA Europa League
Date: 29 November 2018
Kick-off: 16:50 CET
Evgeny Postnikov’s goal in the 88th minute three weeks ago has Astana first in the table, on eight points, super close to qualifying for the last-32 of the competition. Third-placed Rennes are five points behind them, meaning that Astana need one point in their last two matches to finish in the top-2. They are visiting the French side in two weeks. If they finish level on points (draw with Dynamo, defeat to Rennes, Rennes win over Jablonec this week), it’s Astana who will qualify, as long as they lose to Rennes by up to one goal (or 3-1, 4-2, and so on). They have beaten them in Kazakhstan 2-0. Astana have played just once since that 2-1 over Jablonec three weeks ago. Their championship ended something over two weeks ago, so they have no official game between now and their last EL group match, in two weeks, at Rennes.
Astana’s win (at 1.75) was the tip here three weeks ago. In Dynamo Kiev’s game against Rennes, I was tempted – as I mentioned back then – to suggest “Dynamo and over 2.5 goals”, but ended up staying with “over 2.5 goals” (2.10), and the same combined with “both teams to score” (2.50). Dynamo won the game, 3-1, making a big step towards finishing in the top-2. They are on eight points, as many as Astana, but they have drawn 2-2 in Ukraine, that’s why it’s Astana who are leading in the table. In two weeks, Dynamo will be hosting Jablonec, the weakest side of the group, so no matter what happens this week, they know they’ll be masters of their own fate at home in two weeks. Last weekend they lost 2-1 to Oleksandria, who are having an awesome season. Dynamo are now third in the table, one point behind second-placed Oleksandria(!).
Previous five matches:
Astana vs Irtysh 4-0
Astana vs Jablonec 2-1
Astana vs Kairat 3-2
Shakhter Karagandy vs Astana 3-1
Tobol vs Astana 1-0
Oleksandria vs Dynamo Kiev 2-1
Dynamo Kiev vs Mariupol 4-0
Dynamo Kiev vs Rennes 3-1
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kiev 2-1
Minai vs Dynamo Kiev 1-3
Astana’s next game is their last EL group stage match in two weeks, at Rennes. Dynamo are hosting Chornomorets on Monday (Ukraine championship).
Astana vs Dynamo Kiev: Head to head Stats
Astana have never hosted Dynamo before.
Astana vs Dynamo Kiev: Prediction
Draw pays 2.50(!), for good reason. It’s a result that would suit both teams just fine.
Astana vs Dynamo Kiev: Betting Tips
As previously mentioned, draw pays 2.50, my main tip. A more conservative approach would be betting on Dynamo’s double chance, at 1.55.