Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Competition: Greece Super League
Date: 27 January 2019
Kick-off: 18:30 CET
You could shoot a movie about what happened midweek in the Cup match between Asteras Tripolis and AEL Larissa. The first leg had ended in a 3-2 AEL win, and come 60th minute, the score in Tripoli was 3-2(!), with the tie heading into extra-time. In the 75th minute, the same Larissa player who had scored an own-goal earlier, found the… right net, made it 3-3, and at that point, Asteras were left with 15 minutes (plus added time) to score at least twice, and, at the same time, not concede more goals. That’s exactly what happened, Asteras won 5-3(!), in one of the most memorable matches of the season in Greece, Super League and Cup combined. Asteras had lost their three previous matches in 2019, conceding three goals in each one. They have now conceded three goals in each of their four matches this year, and the fact that they are hosting Olympiakos, a team with a lot of attacking talent, makes me doubt seriously that the Tripoli side’s defense will manage to… keep the visitors under control.
Olympiakos Piraeus made things look easy midweek, when they hosted Xanthi in the return leg of their Cup round of 16 tie. The first game in Xanthi had ended without goals, so Olympiakos had to be very careful defensively. They took a 3-0 lead early in the second half, and that goal they conceded in the 74th minute didn’t make any difference. In the Super League, they remain second, eight points behind leaders PAOK. According to reports, Olympiakos are about to sign 28-year-old goalkeeper Antonio Donnarumma, from AC Milan, on loan, until the end of the season. He has played in Greece before. Olympiakos are said to have reached a deal with Milan, and were asked to wait until the coming Wednesday for him to be in Greece.
Previous five matches:
Asteras Tripolis vs AEL Larissa 5-3
AEK Athens vs Asteras Tripolis 3-0
Asteras Tripolis vs PAOK 0-3
AEL Larissa vs Asteras Tripolis 3-2
Apollon Paralimniou vs Asteras Tripolis 0-4
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Xanthi 3-1
PAS Giannina vs Olympiakos Piraeus 1-2
Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus 0-2
Xanthi vs Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0
Aris Avato vs Olympiakos Piraeus 1-2
Asteras’ next game is at Panionios, on Wednesday. Same day, Olympiakos will be hosting Larissa (both Super League matches).
Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus: Head to head Stats
Four draws and one Olympiakos win in the last five games between these two in Tripoli.
Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus: Prediction
I prefer to leave winners and losers aside, and focus on goals first.
Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus: Betting Tips
“Over 2.5 goals” pays a fantastic 2.35, “fantastic”, if you consider that Asteras have allowed 12 goals in their four matches in 2019, have scored several themselves, and are hosting a super hot team. For more than that, if you find this, I suggest Olympiakos’ double chance combined with “over 2.5 goals”, at 2.85.