Atletico Madrid vs Roma
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Date: 22 November 2017
Kick-off: 20:45 CET
What can you write about Atletico Madrid after back-to-back draws against Qarabag? Actually, Diego Simeone had seen problems coming since halftime against Chelsea, late September. Atletico were 1-0 up after the first 45 minutes, but after the game, which they lost 2-1 at home, the Argentine admitted that he could tell things were not going well, despite the favorable score at halftime. In both games against Qarabag, Atletico did create chances, but not as many as to say that they were… betrayed by fate. Those two draws have left them with hardly any chances of finishing in the top-2. They need a… spectacular combination of results to be in the last 16 of the Champions League. If they finish third, they will have to go through the… chore of playing in the Europa League, something Gabi, one of their most experienced players, has called a “sh*tty situation”. Last weekend they drew 0-0 to Real Madrid, in a game that looked more like a battle than a football match. They are 4th in LaLiga, level on points with Real Madrid, but 10 whole points behind leaders Barcelona.
At this point, Roma need to commit football suicide to miss out on a ticket to the last 16 of the competition. Even if they fail to get something from the game in Madrid, they still have the last match at home against Qarabag, their… pillow, on which they can count for crucial points, if things go bad against Atletico. It was versus Chelsea, in the two games against the London side, that Roma… boomed. A boring draw to Atletico and a hard-fought victory at Qarabag didn’t impress anyone. It was their performance at Stamford Bridge and their… show at home versus the Blues that caught fans’ attention throughout Europe and the rest of the world. Last weekend they beat Lazio 2-1 in Rome’s huge derby, another big result for them. They are 4th in the table of Italy’s Serie A, five points behind leaders Napoli, but with a game in hand.
Previous five matches:
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid 0-0
Deportivo La Coruna vs Atletico Madrid 0-1
Atletico Madrid vs Qarabag 1-1
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal 1-1
Elche vs Atletico Madrid 1-1
Roma vs Lazio 2-1
Fiorentina vs Roma 2-4
Roma vs Chelsea 3-0
Roma vs Bologna 1-0
Roma vs Crotone 1-0
Atletico’s next game is on Saturday, at Levante (Spain LaLiga). A day later, Roma will be visiting Genoa (Italy Serie A).
Atletico Madrid vs Roma: Head to head Stats
Atletico have hosted Roma once before, in 1999, when they beat them 2-1.
Atletico Madrid vs Roma: Prediction
I have no doubt Atletico will look super motivated, this is a… game without tomorrow for them, but I doubt their ability to get all three points. I’m leaving winners and losers aside, and I’m going with goals.
Atletico Madrid vs Roma: Betting Tips
“Under 2.5 goals” is at 1.72 betting odds. “No” in “both teams to score”, pays better, 1.90. Deep down I expect a goalless draw, but if one of the two takes the lead, I see them keeping that.
More UEFA Champions League betting tips and match previews:
- Spartak Moscow vs Maribor
- Besiktas vs Porto
- Monaco vs RB Leipzig
- Manchester City vs Feyenoord
- Sevilla vs Liverpool
- APOEL Nicosia vs Real Madrid
- Napoli vs Shakhtar Donetsk
- Borussia Dortmund vs Tottenham
- CSKA Moscow vs Benfica
- Qarabag vs Chelsea
- Anderlecht vs Bayern Munich
- PSG vs Celtic
- Basel vs Manchester United
- Juventus vs Barcelona
- Sporting vs Olympiakos