Atletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 10 November 2018
Kick-off: 22:00 CET
Atlético Paranaense’s win (1.61), that, combined with a clean sheet (2.25), and their -1.5 Asian handicap (3.00), were my three tips midweek when they hosted Fluminense in the first leg of their Copa Sudamericana semifinal, adding that I had a 2-0 hunch. Atlético won exactly 2-0, making a big step towards qualifying for the final. That’s their chance not just to win an international title, but also to play Copa Libertadores football next season. The way things are in the Série A, they need to leave both Atlético Mineiro and Santos behind them to finish in the top-6, and that looks hard. Both are just three points above Atlético, within striking distance, but I repeat, the Curitiba side need to leapfrog both and finish sixth to get a Copa Libertadores qualifiers ticket. If they win the Sudamericana, they go directly to next season’s group stage. On another note, the club president announced the other day that next year Atlético will have not just a new badge, but also new colors(!). He said the club shouldn’t be “imitating” others and being the “shadow” of other clubs, the undisputed giant in Brazil wearing red and black jerseys are of course Flamengo, so we are expecting to see what Atlético’s officials have decided regarding the new team colors.
Cruzeiro beat América Mineiro 1-2 last weekend, their fourth win in their last five matches (Copa do Brasil final included), they are 8th in the Série A table, with a spot in next season’s Copa Libertadores group stage guaranteed, so with few on-field worries left, the club has turned its attention to next year. They have already signed new contracts with most players they want to keep, a sign that they… mean business, they want to maintain the same basis, not lose key pieces, and add two or three players who will make the roster even stronger. Also, they are actively pushing for improved contracts with sponsors, backed by the fact that the team won the Copa do Brasil for a second year in a row. Generally, things look good at Cruzeiro, despite the fact that they are low in the league table.
Previous five matches:
Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense 2-0
Internacional vs Atletico Paranaense 2-1
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia 0-1
Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo 2-1
Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense 0-1
America Mineiro vs Cruzeiro 1-2
Cruzeiro vs Parana 3-1
Cruzeiro vs Ceara 0-2
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense 3-0
Corinthians vs Cruzeiro 1-2
Atlético’s next game is at Vasco da Gama, on Wednesday. Same day, Cruzeiro will be hosting Corinthians (both Série A matches).
Atletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro: Head to head Stats
Just one win for Atlético, three for Cruzeiro, and a draw, in the last five games between these two in Curitiba.
Atletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro: Prediction
Atlético played a big game less than 72 hours ago, but at least there was no trip involved. Even so, I doubt they’ll beat Cruzeiro.
Atletico Paranaense vs Cruzeiro: Betting Tips
Cruzeiro’s double chance is at 1.83, which I consider good enough to avoid risking more with something else. Draw feels more probable to me than a Cruzeiro win, but even 1.83 is not bad, I reckon.