Atromitos vs AEL Larissa
Competition: Greek Super League
Date: 9 April 2017
Kick-off: 18:00 CET
The time came for coach Sa Pinto to be booed at Atromitos after their loss to PAOK on Wednesday. It was their fourth consecutive defeat, but even so, it may be a bit harsh to take it out on Sa Pinto, given that these last four game weeks Atromitos played against four top-tive teams. Just before that, the Portuguese coach had led the team to four consecutive Super League wins, in his first four games in charge. This game against Larissa offers Atromitos a great opportunity to… make amends with their fans, and Sa Pinto himself a chance to be proven right, having said that their recent streak of negative results was mainly due to their opponents’ strength. Larissa are no Olympiakos, no AEK, no Panionios, no PAOK, so…
Their 1-4 home loss to Asteras on Wednesday was a real shock at Larissa, not only because Asteras are not a team that score that much even on their good days, but mostly because it was the debut of Dutch coach Andre Paus, and everyone expected the hosts to outdo themselves in a game that could seal their survival in the Super League for at least another season. Thirty minutes into the game, Larissa were 0-3 down, looking… stunned. They did score once before half-time, but… that was it. After the game, their president accused an assistant referee of influencing the result, something rather ridiculous, in a game that ended 1-4. Paus seems to be the one in the toughest spot here, having to start proving that Larissa were right to hire him.
Atromitos vs AEL Larissa: Head-to-head Stats
Atromitos have beaten Larissa the last three times they hosted them, but the most recent one was in 2011, because AEL were playing in lower categories since then. Atromitos did win at Larissa in the first round of this season as well, though.
Atromitos vs AEL Larissa: Prediction
Atromitos want to win because they have four losses in a row, which does not look good, even though they were playing against top teams. Larissa have a much bigger interest in winning, because they are just two points (and two spots) above the relegation zone. ‘Wanting to win’, doesn’t necessarily come with ‘being able to win’, though. Atromitos have the upper hand because they are playing at home and have a better roster, but even in those four games they won right after Sa Pinto took charge, they struggled to score. To win this one, they will need to… remember how well they defended back then, and hope for a goal.
Atromitos vs AEL Larissa: Tips
I don’t trust Atromitos enough to risk a win that pays around 1.50. On the other hand, Larissa were a joke in their last game, but they do need the points. I’d leave winners and losers aside, too difficult to predict what will happen in a game three weeks before the end of the season in which one of the two has no points interest, so instead, I’m going for an under 2.5 goals game, because Atromitos struggled offensively even on their good days, and because I don’t expect Larissa to score more than once (best -for them- case scenario).
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