Australia vs Germany
Competition: Confederations Cup
Date: 19 June 2017
Kick-off: 17:00 CET
A few days ago, half joking and half being serious, Australia coach Ange Postecoglou said in a Press conference that the Aussies are in Russia not just to play and compete, but to win the Cup(!). Postecoglou, the man who led Australia to their first major title ever, the AFC Asian Cup triumph two and a half years ago, on home soil, must be encouraged by the fact that Germany are missing key players, plus, there is no Brazil, no Argentina, no Spain, no Italy… Less than a week ago, they lost 4-0 to Brazil in Melbourne, but even in such a big defeat Postecoglou found some positives, saying that you can always learn from a defeat. One thing is for sure, the Aussies will look very enthusiastic, and their morale should be boosted by their 3-2 win over Saudi Arabia earlier this month, in the World Cup qualifiers, a huge result for the AFC Asian Cup title holders.
No Manuel Neuer, no Thomas Muller, no Mesut Ozil, Toni Kroos, Jerome Boateng, Mats Hummels, and the list doesn’t end there. Germany have decided to rest most of their key figures, and give the chance to younger players, or slightly older but relatively inexperienced at international level, to test themselves, maybe prove they need to be taken more seriously into consideration ahead of next year’s World Cup finals. Joshua Kimmich and Matthias Ginter are the only Bayern and Dortmund, respectively, players in the squad. Sandro Wagner, Lars Stindl, Kevin Trapp, Amin Younes, Kerem Demirbay, Marvin Plattenhardt, Diego Demme these are the names we’ll get used to in this Confederations Cup, a choice by Joachim Low and the DFB that left many disappointed (people who expected a stronger competition), but deep down, most probably, makes perfect sense, given that winning this trophy is not an absolute priority for the Germans. Helping players mature at international level, is.
Australia vs Germany: Head-to-head Stats
Australia have faced Germany five times in the past, and they have actually beaten them once, in a 2011 friendly game in Mönchengladbach, 2-1, despite being 1-0 down at halftime. In March 2015 they got a 2-2 draw as well, again in Germany, in Kaiserslautern, in another friendly game. The Germans have won both World Cup finals games though, and the previous one between these two in a Confederations Cup edition, in 2005.
Australia vs Germany: Prediction
Germany’s win pays just 1.40, because betting companies expect even this Germany, without most of their regulars, to have an easy game against Australia. I disagree. I’m not claiming that Australia will find it easy against the Germans, even this squad, but they are a team that have been playing together for a long-long time now, unlike this Germany that is… more or less, an experiment. Everything considered, I’m backing Australia not to lose.
Australia vs Germany: Tips
‘Australia or draw’ pays 3.00. Obviously, I consider a draw more probable than a win of the Aussies, but I consider 3.00 good enough. No special bets, because, honestly, I can see this game end anything from 0-0 to… 3-3.