Avai vs Cruzeiro
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 11 August 2019
Kick-off: 21:00 CET
Avaí look stuck at the bottom of the barrel… Just five points earned from 13 matches, no win yet, only five goals scored, one point from their last five games, and worst, possibly, of all, no improvement lately. Sometimes a team keeps losing but still shows some signs of improvement. That’s not Avaí’s case. Alberto Valentim stays… loyal to his belief that no hints should be given regarding the starting lineup. The team’s reporters expect Vladimir, Léo, Betão, Marquinhos Silva, Paulinho, Pedro Castro, Richard Franco, Ferrareis, João Paulo, Lourenço and Bruno Sávio to be on the pitch at kickoff. Alex Silva and Getúlio are injured, while left-back Igor Fernandes and attacking midfielder André Moritz are suspended.
It eventually happened; Mano Menezes had informed Cruzeiro’s officials after the team’s 2-0 defeat to city rivals Atlético Mineiro last weekend that he was ready to leave his job if the board of directors wanted him. Back then, the president and his associates backed him. Midweek, Cruzeiro lost again, to Internacional, at home, in the first leg of their Copa do Brasil semifinal. After that, Menezes had to leave. The club thanked him for all he did these last years (be reminded, Cruzeiro have won back-to-back Copa do Brasil titles, in 2017 and 2018), named Ricardo Resende as interim coach, and started talking with more experienced coaches. Who knows, though? A win and a good performance in Florianópolis, may earn Resende time. Cruzeiro are expected to start with Fábio, Orejuela, Dedé, Léo, Egídio, Henrique, Ariel Cabral, Robinho, Marquinhos Gabriel, Pedro Rocha and Sassá. Fred and Thiago Neves are suspended, while Rodriguinho is injured.
Previous five matches:
Avai vs Botafogo 0-2
Santos vs Avai 3-1
Avai vs Goias 0-0
Fortaleza vs Avai 2-0
Palmeiras vs Avai 2-0
Cruzeiro vs Internacional 0-1
Atletico Mineiro vs Cruzeiro 2-0
Cruzeiro vs River Plate 0-0
Cruzeiro vs Athletico Paranaense 0-2
River Plate vs Cruzeiro 0-0
Avaí’s next game is at Chapecoense, next weekend. Cruzeiro will be hosting Santos (both Serie A matches).
Avai vs Cruzeiro: Head to head Stats
Avaí have hosted Cruzeiro five times the last 10 years. The hosts won one game, same with Cruzeiro, and three ended in a draw.
Avai vs Cruzeiro: Prediction
Avaí have been a joke for weeks now, but are hosting a very vulnerable, a wounded Cruzeiro. I would leave winners and losers aside, and bet on goals.
Avai vs Cruzeiro: Betting Tips
“Under 1.5” is at 2.35, suiting my hunch that this will be a… battle, a game with few real chances, and no more than one goal. Cruzeiro’s double chance combined with “under 2.5 goals” is at 1.95, feeling like a somewhat smaller risk.