Bayern Munich vs Baskonia
Competition: Turkish Airlines Euroleague
Date: 25 October 2018
Time: 19:00 CET
Bayern Munich (W1 L2) pulled a nice upset when they hosted Panathinaikos last week, but fell against Barcelona in their next match. The match quickly took a turn for the worse, as Barcelona were already leading by 9 points by the end of the first quarter. Bayern Munich did their best but could only outscore their opponents by one point in the second and fourth quarter respectively, to eventually lose by 83:73. Lo scored a team-high 16 points with 3 assists, 3 steals and 2 triples, while Lucic scored 12 with 4 rebounds. Barthel scored 11 with 3 rebounds, while Bayern Munich also had some production from the bench, but not enough to grant them a win. Bayern Munich are now sitting at the 13th spot of the Euroleague, featuring the 2nd worst offense with 74.66 points per game, while allowing 84 in the process.
On the other hand, Baskonia (W1 L2) met a really bad loss on the road against Real Madrid in their last match, where they fell by 97:79. Real Madrid quickly took the lead in that match and were already up by 8 points by the end of the first half. They were in contention of the match till the start of the fourth quarter, but they were destroyed by 23:12 in the final quarter and met a heavy loss. Huertas scored 14 points with 3 assists, Garino had 12 with 5 rebounds, Vildoza scored 11 with 5 assists, and Janning had 10 with 4 rebounds. Shengelia was really quiet with 9 points, while Granger had only 5 points. Baskonia tend to be really predictable, and if their two offensive weapons are shut down they are in deep trouble. They are now sitting at the 12th spot of the Euroleague, scoring an average of 82 points per match, while allowing 87 in the process.
Previous 5 games:
Bayern Munich vs Bonne 102:91
Barcelona vs Bayern Munich 83:73
Bayern Munich vs Panathinaikos 80:79
Braunschweig vs Bayern Munich 61:87
Bayern Munich vs Anadolu Efes 71:90
Baskonia vs Murcia 93:49
Real Madrid vs Baskonia 97:79
Baskonia vs Olympiacos Piraeus 80:85
Fuenlabrada vs Baskonia 60:110
Zalgiris Kaunas vs Baskonia 79:87
Bayern Munich vs Baskonia: Prediction
Baskonia had a very tough schedule so far with Olympiacos Piraeus and Real Madrid, but they defeated Zalgiris Kaunas in the opener. They are looking to do better than last season, so a win against one of the weakest teams in the competition is a must right now. Bayern Munich have a really bad offense and their defense is also leaky.
Bayern Munich vs Baskonia: Betting Tips
I expect Baskonia to win this match, one way or the other. Both Granger and Shengelia are coming off really bad performances against Real Madrid and will surely bounce back here. Look for their individual scoring lines and bet on the Over. I will reluctantly take the -5.5 points for Baskonia here @ 1.83, but the Over 159.5 @1.80 feels like a more risky bet.