Bolivar vs LDU Quito
Competition: Copa Sudamericana
Date: 13 July 2017
Kick-off: 00:15 CET
Bolivar struggled to eliminate Deportes Tolima in the previous round of the competition, grabbing the ticket to the last 32 thanks to the away goals rule. At Tolima they scored with an own goal, and in the return leg in La Paz they needed a penalty to win 1-0, but what matters is that they made it to the next stage. Domestically, they were absolutely impressive, winning seven of their last eight matches (the remaining one was a draw, not a defeat), to finish first in the Apertura, nine whole points above second-placed The Strongest. Defender Luis Alberto Gutiérrez got sent off in the first game versus Deportes Tolima and remains suspended. Mauricio Prieto is expected to take his place. Chilean striker Ronnie Fernández moved to Saudi Arabia’s Al-Feiha FC, and Uruguayan Gastón Sirino will get his chance. He hasn’t played much in 2017, so… this is it for him, a golden opportunity to show he deserves more trust from his coach, Beñat San José.
It’s really hard to believe that a team of LDU’s stature finished 10th(!!) in Ecuador’s championship, which ended just a few days ago. What’s… consoling for them is that they won their last two games over Universidad Catolica and Clan Juvenil by a total score of 6-0 (which wasn’t that hard though, given that Clan Juvenil were by far the weakest team in the championship, so the 5-0 in LDU’s ‘Casa Blanca’ wasn’t something to be overly enthusiastic about). Uruguayan coach Pablo Repetto doesn’t have the roster previous LDU coaches had these last years, but still, 10th is unacceptable by LDU standards. In the previous round of the Copa Sudamericana they offered two spectacular clashes against Defensor Sporting, a 2-2 draw at home, a game that had two red cards as well, and a 2-1 win in Uruguay, another game with two red cards and countless turnarounds, two matches that will stay for a long time in the memory of those who watched them. Uruguayan central midfielder Rubén Olivera got sent off in the last game versus Defensor Sporting and is unavailable.
Bolivar vs LDU Quito: Head-to-head Stats
Bolivar have hosted LDU four times in the past, they’ve beaten them three times, and drawn once. The most recent match in La Paz was in 2008, which Bolivar won 2-1.
Bolivar vs LDU Quito: Prediction
Everything screams out loud that this is Bolivar’s game, but A) their win pays too little, B) in their last two games, LDU showed signs of improvement, regardless of the fact that their opponents were not top class.
Bolivar vs LDU Quito: Tips
I wish I had a little more faith in the visitors (‘draw or LDU’ pays 3.00), but I don’t. Bolivar’s win is at just 1.40. They haven’t conceded in their last five home games, even against strong teams, so for more than 1.40, I’d go with Bolivar not just to win, but keep a clean sheet as well. This combination pays 2.30.