Botafogo vs Atletico Mineiro
Competition: Copa do Brasil
Date: 27 July 2017
Kick-off: 00:30 CET
When Botafogo traveled to Belo Horizonte four weeks ago to face Atletico Mineiro, they had just lost at home to Avai, they lost at Atletico as well, and a couple of days later lost a third game in a row, at Corinthians. That was their last defeat. Ever since then, they have three wins and as many draws, with a 1-0 at Nacional (Montevideo) in the Copa Libertadores their most important victory of all. Last Sunday, coach Jair Ventura chose a starting lineup with a good number of players who are usually reserves, in an obvious attempt to have at least some of his regulars as ‘fresh’ as possible in this game against Atletico Mineiro. Botafogo drew 1-1 at Atletico Goianiense, a failure, no doubt, given whom they were facing, the worst team in the championship, who had just eight points in 15 matches before hosting Botafogo.
Atletico win, in a game that will have up to two goals, with 1-0 as the most probable score. These were the three predictions here four weeks ago, before the first leg between these two. They paid 1.66, 4.00, and 7.00 respectively, and all three came good. Things have changed a lot since then, though. Just last weekend, in their home game against Vasco da Gama, I backed the visitors to earn at least a draw (‘draw or Vasco’ paid more than 2.00), and the Rio de Janeiro side went on to win the game. Atletico fired their coach last week, and Rogerio Micale is the new man in charge. He was not on the bench against Vasco, but should be in this game versus Botafogo. The 1-0 of the first game gives Atletico an advantage, but the way things are at the team right now, they will need to outdo themselves to protect that advantage.
Botafogo vs Atletico Mineiro: Head-to-head Stats
Three wins for Botafogo and two draws in the last five games between these two in Rio de Janeiro. Last time Atletico beat Botafogo as visitors was back in 2012.
Botafogo vs Atletico Mineiro: Prediction
I feel Botafogo have a good chance to win the game and qualify, not so much because they’ve impressed me with their latest displays (they haven’t), but because Atletico seem to be at a very-very bad place right now. Everything considered, I’m taking the risk to back Botafogo to win, but I’m anything but sure they will qualify for the semifinals.
Botafogo vs Atletico Mineiro: Tips
Botafogo’s win pays 1.95. Exactly as in the first leg, I see 1-0 as the most probable result, it pays 7.00, and will leave the qualification to get decided later than the 90 minutes.