Botafogo vs Flamengo
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 10 November 2018
Kick-off: 22:00 CET
Botafogo earned an absolutely massive victory last weekend, hosting Corinthians. They created a four-point… buffer zone between them and those getting relegated, but they know that they are not safe yet. The biggest news at Botafogo is that Jefferson, their veteran goalkeeper, is back. He got seriously injured months ago, ironically, playing against Flamengo, same rival. Zé Ricardo told reporters Jefferson will be on the bench, and Paraguayan Gatito Fernández will start the game. Twenty-four hours before kick-off it was still unclear if defensive midfielder Jean and center-forward Kieza would be able to play. Botafogo’s win over Corinthians was their first in six Série A matches. On another note, the club decided to offer tickets for as little as 5 reals (something over one euro), hoping to attract to the stadium as many fans as possible. Actually, some club members who are entitled to a discount, paid just 2.50 reals, literally less than 50 cents of a euro.
Flamengo went down twice last weekend at Sao Paulo, 1-0 and 2-1, managed to salvage a point, but both Palmeiras and Internacional won, so their chances of winning the title are less, today, that what they were before last weekend’s games. On the other hand, 5th-placed Gremio are five points behind them. The top-4 teams earn direct tickets to next season’s Copa Libertadores. Those finishing 5th and 6th, will need to go through qualifiers. That’s obviously what Fla want to avoid. Goalkeeper Diego Alves is still training on his own, in the middle of a… “cold war” against the club directors. He has been banned from sharing the training ground with the rest of the squad, with Dorival Junior fearing that his… bitterness (for not playing) would “spoil the atmosphere”. Fla’s number 10, Diego, hasn’t started a game yet since Dorival took charge, but he has kept a very different stance, low profile, trying to earn his spot in the starting lineup back, through training hard. Flamengo are five points behind leaders Palmeiras.
Previous five matches:
Botafogo vs Corinthians 1-0
Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo 2-1
Botafogo vs Bahia 0-1
Ceara vs Botafogo 0-0
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama 1-1
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo 2-2
Flamengo vs Palmeiras 1-1
Parana vs Flamengo 0-4
Flamengo vs Fluminense 3-0
Corinthians vs Flamengo 0-3
Botafogo’s next game is at Chapecoense, on Thursday. Same day, Flamengo will be hosting Santos (both Série A matches).
Botafogo vs Flamengo: Head to head Stats
One win each, and three draws, in the last five Rio de Janeiro derbies between these two with Botafogo as hosts.
Botafogo vs Flamengo: Prediction
Despite the fact that Botafogo returned to… winning ways last weekend, I’m backing Flamengo to win the derby, and keep their hopes of winning the title alive.
Botafogo vs Flamengo: Betting Tips
Flamengo’s win is at 1.90 (with their double chance at just 1.25). I would avoid mixing their victory with number of goals, considering that 1.90 good enough to avoid taking an even bigger risk.