Caracas vs Everton
Competition: Copa Sudamericana
Date: 7 March 2018
Kick-off: 01:45 CET
Incredible match in the second half two weeks ago in Chile, especially the last 20 minutes, with Caracas earning an unbelievable 2-1 victory. A defender of theirs conceded an absolutely silly penalty in the 74th minute to allow Everton to take the lead from the penalty spot. A minute later, Everton’s goalkeeper committed an even more unacceptable mistake, gifting Jesús Arrieta the equaliser. Caracas’ comeback was complete in the second minute of added time, when Edwin Pernía made it 1-2. Caracas have just one win in five matches in Venezuela’s championship, which makes their success in Chile all the more hard to believe.
“Hurt, and somewhat ashamed”. These are the words Lucas Mugni, an Everton player, said when asked how he and his teammates feel, having failed big in the first weeks of the new season, losing four of their first five games, including the first leg against Caracas two weeks ago at home. Things improved slightly last weekend, when Everton beat San Luis 2-1 at home. They were playing against a modest opponent in front of their own crowd, San Luis were left with 10 men in the 79th minute, Everton’s winner came in the 87th, but still, it was a victory, an important morale boost before their trip to Venezuela.
Previous five matches:
Mineros de Guayana vs Caracas 2-0
Everton vs Caracas 1-2
Aragua vs Caracas 1-2
Estudiantes Caracas vs Caracas 1-0
Caracas vs Estudiantes Merida 0-0
Everton vs San Luis 2-1
Audax Italiano vs Everton 1-0
Everton vs Caracas 1-2
Everton vs Universidad Catolica 0-1
O’Higgins vs Everton 1-2
Caracas’ next game is at Metropolitanos, on Sunday (Venezuela championship). Everton are hosting Universidad Chile on Saturday, March 17 (Chile championship).
Caracas vs Everton: Head to head Stats
Caracas have hosted Everton once before, in 2009. They beat them 1-0 in a Copa Libertadores group stage game.
Caracas vs Everton: Prediction
Caracas are given a small advantage to win the game, but I wouldn’t bet on their victory without the safety net of “draw no bet”, mostly because they don’t need to win.
Caracas vs Everton: Betting Tips
All things considered, I’m going with “both teams to score”, at 1.83, and “over 2.5 goals”, at 2.15. That’s because Everton need two goals – at least – to qualify, they must attack early, taking risks, so I expect a quick goal from any of the two, and then at least two more. Keep in mind, even if Everton concede first, they still need two goals, not to qualify, but to take the tie to penalties. Same number though, two goals, so a Caracas opener won’t change things too-too much.
More Copa Sudamericana betting tips and match previews: