Coritiba vs Botafogo
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 24 September 2017
Kick-off: 21:00 CET
Early August. That’s when Coritiba celebrated their last win in the Serie A. Ever since then, in five matches, they have picked up just two points, losing at Atletico Goianiense, Palmeiras (last weekend), and at home to Vitoria! A week ago I showed how little faith I had in them by suggesting not a simple Palmeiras win, but one combined with a clean sheet, and Coritiba lost 1-0. They are 18th in the table, on 27 points, level with Sao Paulo and Bahia, with the latter being the first team right above the relegation line.
Heartbreak for Botafogo midweek, as they lost 1-0 at Gremio, and got eliminated from the Copa Libertadores in the quarterfinals. The first leg in Rio de Janeiro had ended in a goalless draw. Last weekend they beat Santos 2-0 at home, taking perfect advantage of the fact that the visitors played with an almost entirely alternative lineup, as they had a Copa Libertadores game themselves coming up, against Barcelona (Guayaquil). Botafogo are sitting 7th in the table, level on points with 6th-placed Cruzeiro, so they have have every reason to hope that they will play Copa Libertadores (top six spots) football next season as well.
Previous 5 matches:
Palmeiras vs Coritiba 1-0
Atletico PR vs Coritiba 1-1
Coritiba vs Vitoria 0-1
Coritiba vs Santos 0-0
Atletico GO vs Coritiba 1-0
Gremio vs Botafogo 1-0
Botafogo vs Santos 2-0
Botafogo vs Gremio 0-0
Botafogo vs Flamengo 2-0
Bahia vs Botafogo 1-2
Coritiba’s next game is at Bahia, on Saturday. A day later, Botafogo will be hosting Vitoria (both Serie A matches).
Coritiba vs Botafogo: Head to head Stats
Three wins for Coritiba, one draw, and one victory for Botafogo in the last five games between these two in Curitiba. Three of those five matches went over 2.5 goals.
Coritiba vs Botafogo: Prediction
Despite being very low in the table, Coritiba are considered slight favorites to beat their much better rivals. Personally, I can’t back a team that has been way below average for weeks now. I’m leaving winners and losers aside, and I’m going with goals instead.
Coritiba vs Botafogo: Betting Tips
Coritiba’s last six games have all stayed under 2.5 goals. Same with Botafogo’s last four. Under 2.5 pays 1.53, but I would risk with under 1.5 at 2.55 betting odds, expecting the game to be decided by a single goal (if any).
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