Cruzeiro vs America Mineiro
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 20 July 2018
Kick-off: 00:30 CET
Cruzeiro finished the job off against Atlético Paranaense in the Copa do Brasil round of 16 on Monday, drawing 1-1 at home. They had won 2-1 in Curitiba, in the first leg. “Under 2.5 goals” (1.75) and “Cruzeiro to keep a clean sheet” (1.83) were my two tips, with the second one going to the dustbin in added time, when Atlético scored a… consolation goal (they were already losing 1-0). Uruguayan Giorgian de Arrascaeta scored Cruzeiro’s goal in the 86th minute. After the game, coach Mano Menezes told reporters that the Uruguayan won’t be leaving Cruzeiro during this transfer window, despite interest from European clubs. The Belo Horizonte side signed Argentinian striker Hernán Barcos a few days ago, and he was at Mineirão on Monday to watch his new team.
América Mineiro have had a decent run in the first 12 game weeks, picking up 14 points, enough to have them 13th in the table. They have scored more goals (14) than several teams in the upper half of the table, but they have conceded 18. Only Vitória and Chapecoense have allowed more goals than them. Players came and left during the World Cup finals break, and the overall feeling is that today’s América are not really a better team, or, to be more specific, they don’t have a better roster than the one they had right before the World Cup finals started. It remains to be seen on the pitch, if they can come together as a team to find solutions collectively.
Previous five matches:
Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense 1-1
Parana vs Cruzeiro 1-1
Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro 2-0
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama 1-1
Ceara vs Cruzeiro 0-1
America Mineiro vs Chapecoense 0-0
Gremio vs America Mineiro 1-0
America Mineiro vs Atletico Mineiro 1-3
America Mineiro vs Atletico Paranaense 3-1
Corinthians vs America Mineiro 1-0
Cruzeiro’s next game is on Sunday, again at home, versus Atlético Paranaense. Same day, América Mineiro will be visiting Paraná (both Brazil Série A matches).
Cruzeiro vs America Mineiro: Head to head Stats
Three Cruzeiro wins and as many draws in the last six games between these two with Cruzeiro as hosts.
Cruzeiro vs America Mineiro: Prediction
Cruzeiro played a very demanding game 72 hours before this match’s kick-off, but they should be fine, partly because there was no trip involved. I will be surprised if they don’t pick up all three points.
Cruzeiro vs America Mineiro: Betting Tips
A simple Cruzeiro win pays just 1.40. Despite conceding in added time on Monday, I repeat my “Cruzeiro to keep a clean sheet” suggestion, at 1.61. Last but not least, “Cruzeiro to win and keep a clean sheet” is at 1.90, and “Cruzeiro and under 2.5 goals” at 2.75 (suiting my 2-0 hunch).