Cruzeiro vs Bahia
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 19 August 2018
Kick-off: 21:00 CET
Cruzeiro have lost three of their last four matches in the championship (without even scoring), and only drew 1-1 with Vitória in Salvador. One point from four matches, which is how they have fallen 8th in the table, 10 whole points behind leaders Sao Paulo. They had prioritized other competitions, with knock-out games, Copa Libertadores and Copa do Brasil. Was it worth it? Midweek, they eliminated Santos in the Copa do Brasil, despite losing 1-2(!), getting saved by their goalkeeper, Fábio, in the penalty shootout (he denied the first three Santos players who took penalties). They are in the semifinals. In the Copa Libertadores, they beat Flamengo 0-2 at Maracana, and have the return leg at home, with huge chances of qualifying for the quarterfinals. So, was it worth it? Results say, it was. Mano Menezes told reporters he intends to play with his best possible lineup in at least two of the three Série A games between now and the return leg against Flamengo in the Libertadores.
Bahia had managed to stay undefeated in eight matches in a row before visiting Palmeiras midweek, in the return leg of their Copa do Brasil quarterfinal tie. The first leg had ended in a goalless draw. Bahia… hang in there for more than 70 minutes, but at the end, they conceded, lost 1-0, and saw their great run in the competition come to an end. I think the simplest explanation is that their roster is not as deep as that of Palmeiras. Actually, it’s rather unanimously accepted in Brazil that Palmeiras’ roster is one of the three best in the country at the moment, so Bahia’s mission against the Sao Paulo side was very tough from the very beginning. Coach Enderson Moreira said after the elimination that he is proud of the team, and… he should be. They are 12th in the Série A table, on 21 points from 17 matches.
Previous five matches:
Cruzeiro vs Santos 1-2
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro 1-0
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro 0-2
Vitoria vs Cruzeiro 1-1
Santos vs Cruzeiro 0-1
Palmeiras vs Bahia 1-0
Bahia vs America Mineiro 1-0
Cerro vs Bahia 1-1
Fluminense vs Bahia 1-1
Bahia vs Palmeiras 0-0
Cruzeiro’s next game is at Gremio, on Wednesday. Same day, Bahia will be hosting Internacional (both Série A matches).
Cruzeiro vs Bahia: Head to head Stats
Six wins for Cruzeiro and one for Bahia in the last seven games between these two in Belo Horizonte.
Cruzeiro vs Bahia: Prediction
Cruzeiro have no win in their last four championship matches, but I feel this is about to change. Problem is, their victory is not paying more than 1.44.
Cruzeiro vs Bahia: Betting Tips
I can’t imagine Cruzeiro dropping the ball again, the way they did in the last minutes of their game against Santos on Wednesday. I expect them to win, their victory is at 1.44, and for more than that, I would combine it with a clean sheet. Like that, it pays a much better 1.95.