Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 26 November 2017
Kick-off: 20:00 CET
Cruzeiro have known for weeks and weeks now (possibly months) that they wouldn’t win the championship. They’ve also known for a long time now that they will be in the Copa Libertadores group stage next season, after winning the Copa do Brasil title. They visited Vitoria last weekend having no pressure, they are playing just for themselves and their fans, no one would… shoot them if they lost in Salvador da Bahia to a very-very-very motivated Vitoria, but they played like it was a final for them, full of passion, full of determination, ending up hurting the hosts. Cruzeiro went 1-0 down in the first half, but in the 75th minute they got rewarded for their very good game, scored a beautiful goal, and left Salvador with a point. Most importantly, they deprived Vitoria of two points that would have made a huge difference to them. It should be noted that Cruzeiro maybe, just maybe, had a goal in the first half not… recognized, when the ball bounced off the line after finding the horizontal post first. The assistant referees (both of them) didn’t think it was a goal, the referee didn’t either, and even the videos didn’t clarify what happened. The part of the ball that touched the ground was definitely 100% in, but there is a chance a tiny-tiny part of the ball that didn’t touch the ground was on the line, in the air above the line. If Vitoria avoid relegation for a single point, this refereeing decision may have made the difference for them…
A below average and below expectations performance earned Vasco da Gama a big… nothing last weekend at Atletico Paranaense. Vasco’s only goal in their 3-1 loss in Curitiba was a… hard to believe own goal scored by Wanderson. The Rio de Janeiro side did create two-three “sort of” chances to score, but overall they were – by far – second best on the pitch. Their motive was huge, they are strong candidates to get one of the last Copa Libertadores tickets if both Gremio and Flamengo win the Libertadores and the Sudamericana respectively this season, but on the pitch you couldn’t see that, you couldn’t see the… hunger on their face, they looked rather unable to answer to Atletico’s aggressive “let’s go get them” attitude. They are 9th in the table, keeping their fingers crossed that Gremio and Flamengo will lift both of South America’s international trophies the next days/weeks, so as to open up more Libertadores spots for Serie A teams.
Previous five matches:
Vitoria vs Cruzeiro 1-1
Cruzeiro vs Avai 2-2
Cruzeiro vs Fluminense 3-1
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro 2-0
Cruzeiro vs Atletico PR 1-0
Atletico PR vs Vasco da Gama 3-1
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Mineiro 1-1
Vasco da Gama vs Sao Paulo 1-1
Santos vs Vasco da Gama 1-2
Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria 1-1
Cruzeiro’s next game is at Botafogo, next Sunday. Same day, Vasco will be hosting Ponte Preta (both Brazil Serie A matches).
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama: Head to head Stats
Two wins for Cruzeiro, one for Vasco, and two draws, in the last five games between these two in Belo Horizonte. Four of those five matches went over 2.5 goals.
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama: Prediction
Vasco hadn’t lost since September 17(!) before falling to Atletico Paranaense last weekend, looking very-very poor. Was it just an exception to the rule? I say yes, backing them to get at least a draw in Belo Horizonte.
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama: Betting Tips
Vasco’s double chance pays 2.15, and is my only tip. I’m tempted to suggest a draw alone, at 3.70, but even 2.15 is good enough, I reckon.
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