Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors
Competition: Argentina Superliga
Date: 11 February 2019
Kick-off: 23:00 CET
Who would have thought that 17 matches into the season, one team would be left undefeated, and that would modest Defensa y Justicia… Last weekend, at San Martín Tucumán, they were losing 1-0 until the 82nd minute. Somehow, they managed to… escape with all three points(!). Midweek, a 94th-minute Erik strike cost Defensa their clean sheet in Rio de Janeiro. They lost 1-0 to Botafogo in the first leg of their Copa Sudamericana first round tie. The return leg is in Argentina on February 20. The question is, how can Sebastián Beccacece and his players handle these… two matches per week thing? Actually, they did just that, last year; They did lose at Junior, Barranquilla, in the Copa Sudamericana, on October 25, but right before and after that, they won their Superliga games. Same with the match against Vélez, right after the… memorable return leg against Junior. Plus, Argentinos Juniors are the weakest team of the league this season…
At this point, I’m left without… new words to express my disbelief… How can a professional team have scored just five goals in 17 league matches? Beats me… On the other hand, it has to be mentioned, only seven teams have conceded less than Argentinos Juniors this season, their defense has been way above average. Last weekend they drew without goals at home, with Belgrano. The two worst teams of the season in the Superliga faced each other, so that 0-0 was no surprise. Thankfully for the Paternal side, things in the Superliga work in a… particular way; because of the “promedio” table, they know that most probably they will be playing in the top division next season as well. In that table, they are 20th, not 26th, as in this season’s Superliga table.
Previous five matches:
Botafogo vs Defensa y Justicia 1-0
San Martin Tucuman vs Defensa y Justicia 1-2
Defensa y Justicia vs San Lorenzo 1-0
River Plate vs Defensa y Justicia 0-1
Defensa y Justicia vs Colon 3-0
Argentinos Juniors vs Belgrano 0-0
Colon vs Argentinos Juniors 2-0
Huracan vs Argentinos Juniors 0-0
Argentinos Juniors vs Aldosivi 1-2
Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors 0-1
Defensa are visiting Gimnasia La Plata next weekend. Argentinos Juniors will be hosting Estudiantes (both Superliga matches).
Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors: Head to head Stats
Defensa haven’t hosted Argentinos Juniors since 2004(!). They won 2-1 back then.
Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors: Prediction
Defensa have already proven this season that they have what it takes to deal with two matches per week. I tip them to win.
Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors: Betting Tips
A simple Defensa win is at 1.65. The best defense of the league is facing the worst, by far, offense, so “Defensa to win and keep a clean sheet”, at 2.35, makes perfect sense to me.