Defensor Sporting vs Gremio
Competition: Copa Libertadores
Date: 27 February 2018
Kick-off: 23:15 CET
Defensor Sporting Club Montevideo finished second last season in Uruguay’s championship behind Peñarol, earning a direct ticket to the Copa Libertadores group stage. The new season has started with ups and downs. They did take the lead in all four games they’ve played thus far, but they won only two of those, the ones at home. Last weekend they drew 1-1 at Rampla Juniors, despite taking the lead early in the game. Another interesting detail about Defensor Sporting is that they had at least one player sent off in three of their four matches. Last weekend they had two players shown a red card, which means four red cards in just four matches. They’ve scored eight goals, but again, interesting detail, two came from the penalty spot, and two were actually own-goals, scored for them by opponents.
Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense (as is the full name of the club) are the reigning Copa Libertadores title holders, and as of last week, they are the new Recopa Sudamericana winners as well, having defeated Independiente on penalties, after two draws, first in Avellaneda and then in Porto Alegre. In the Gaucho championship they are just 9th(!). Actually, if it weren’t for their 3-0 win over Novo Hamburgo last weekend, they were close to getting relegated(!!). The first eight teams continue the fight for the title, Gremio have three games left to play, they are not out of the woods yet (regarding avoiding relegation), but they should finish in the top-8, and fight for the title. Their coach, Renato Gaúcho, has used the local championship matches to make all sorts of tests, which partly explains Gremio’s poor results, just seven points from eight matches(!). After that 3-0 over Novo Hamburgo he said he never thought Gremio were in real danger of getting relegated, but… numbers tell a different story. Up until a few days ago, Gremio were last(!) in the table.
Previous five matches:
Rampla Juniors vs Defensor Sporting 1-1
Defensor Sporting vs Torque 2-1
Danubio vs Defensor Sporting 2-1
Defensor Sporting vs Atenas 3-0
Peñarol vs Defensor Sporting 0-0
Gremio vs Novo Hamburgo 3-0
Gremio vs Independiente 0-0
Veranópolis vs Gremio 2-1
Gremio vs Brasil de Pelotas 2-1
Gremio vs Cruzeiro RS 0-1
Defensor Sporting’s next game is on Sunday, again at home, versus Fénix (Uruguay championship). Same day, Gremio will be visiting Juventude (Gaucho championship).
Defensor Sporting vs Gremio: Head to head Stats
Defensor Sporting have faced six Brazilian teams in the past, but not Gremio.
Defensor Sporting vs Gremio: Prediction
Gremio drew twice to Independiente the last two weeks, so I really doubt they will lose in Uruguay. Win? I have my doubts. I prefer to bet on goals instead.
Defensor Sporting vs Gremio: Betting Tips
Gremio’s two games against Independiente had just two goals, but those were finals, literally, a title was at stake, and Gremio had every reason to look 101% focused defensively. For some reason, I expect them to concede in Uruguay, but not lose. Bottom line, “both teams to score”, at 2.10, is a bet I like a lot. “Over 2.5 combined goals” is at 2.50, very high for “over 2.5”, it seems like a major risk, but I expect a goal early in the match, which will… sort of open it up, and lead to at least three (suiting my 1-2 hunch).
More Copa Libertadores betting tips and match previews:
- Monagas vs Cerro Porteno
- Racing Club vs Cruzeiro
- Colo Colo vs Atletico Nacional
- Nacional Montevideo vs Estudiantes
- Alianza Lima vs Boca Juniors
- Junior vs Palmeiras
- Delfin vs Bolivar
- Millonarios vs Corinthians
- Flamengo vs River Plate
- Real Garcilaso vs Santos
- Deportivo Lara vs Independiente
- Santa Fe vs Emelec