Emelec vs Santa Fe
Competition: Copa Libertadores
Date: 24 May 2018
Kick-off: 02:45 CET
On just one point from five matches in the group, Emelec are sitting at the bottom of the table, but still in with a chance to finish at least third, and play Copa Sudamericana football in the second half of the season. They are three points behind Santa Fe, having a -5 goal difference, worse than Santa Fe’s 1. A simple 1-0 win won’t be enough for Emelec. Generally, any win by one goal won’t be enough. Emelec need to win by two goals (or more), no matter if it’s 2-0, 3-1, 4-2, and so on. Emelec have a new coach, Argentine Mariano Soso, but it’s Javier Klimowicz, the coach of their reserve team, that will lead the team not just in this Libertadores game, but also on Sunday, when they host city rivals Barcelona. Last weekend, Emelec beat Independiente del Valle 2-0 away from home.
Santa Fe have zero chance of finishing second, but they need to be extra careful if they want to finish at least third, and play in the Copa Sudamericana in the second half of the season. As previously mentioned, they can… afford to lose by one goal, but not more than that. Any defeat by two goals or more will leave them at the bottom of the table. Santa Fe’s regular goalkeeper, Leandro Castellanos, is back, after recovering from his latest injury. Center-back William Tesillo will play his last game for Santa Fe, as he recently got transferred to Mexican side León. Defensive midfielder Yeison Gordillo also traveled with the group, despite being in the middle of negotiations about a potential move to Mexico.
Previous five matches:
Independiente del Valle vs Emelec 0-2
Flamengo vs Emelec 2-0
Emelec vs Delfin 2-1
Aucas vs Emelec 2-0
Emelec vs Aucas 1-0
Santa Fe vs Millonarios 1-0
Santa Fe vs River Plate 0-1
Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe 0-0
La Equidad vs Santa Fe 2-0
Santa Fe vs Flamengo 0-0
Emelec’s next game is on Sunday, again at home, versus Barcelona (Ecuador championship). Santa Fe don’t have a next game scheduled yet.
Emelec vs Santa Fe: Head to head Stats
Emelec have hosted Santa Fe three times before. They lost 2-0 in 1980 (Copa Libertadores group stage), won 2-1 in 2000 (Copa Merconorte group stage), and won again, 2-1, in 2015 (Copa Sudamericana round of 16).
Emelec vs Santa Fe: Prediction
I’m backing Emelec to win, not without reservations, but deep down, yes, I do expect them to make their home advantage count in this game, and pick up all three points. Qualify as well? That, I doubt.
Emelec vs Santa Fe: Betting Tips
Emelec’s win pays 1.85. If I left winners and losers aside, I would bet on “over 2.5 goals”, at 2.30, because of the… nature of the match. Emelec need at least two goals.
More Copa Libertadores betting tips and match previews:
- Universidad Chile vs Vasco da Gama
- Cruzeiro vs Racing Club
- Cerro Porteno vs Monagas
- River Plate vs Flamengo
- Gremio vs Defensor Sporting
- Santos vs Real Garcilaso
- Estudiantes vs Nacional Montevideo
- Atletico Nacional vs Colo-Colo
- Bolivar vs Delfin
- Independiente vs Deportivo Lara
- Corinthians vs Millonarios