Estudiantes vs River Plate
Competition: Argentina Superliga
Date: 3 November 2018
Kick-off: 21:45 CET
From not winning in eight games, Estudiantes have gone to earning back-to-back victories, without conceding a single goal. Their 1-0 at home over Newell’s Old Boys was followed last weekend by a big 0-2 victory at Banfield, a team that had 10 points from four home matches before hosting the La Plata side. Mariano Pavone had scored the winner against Newell’s in the 71st minute, and last weekend it was in the 73rd that he opened the scoring. Fernando Zuqui added the cherry on top in added time. It was one of those games that time passes and you’re left with the impression that none of the two will score, until a moment of individual brilliance (Pavone’s, in that case), totally changes the scenery. Estudiantes are just 16th in the table, on 11 points from nine matches (they have one in hand), but their back-to-back wins have filled them with optimism.
“Blessed rain… I don’t want to leave”, Gonzalo Martínez told on camera a few minutes after the end of River Plate’s Copa Libertadores semifinal return leg in Porto Alegre on Tuesday. Martínez had scored River’s winner in added time from the penalty spot, in the midst of torrential rain, which made the Millonarios’ celebrations after the final whistle feel like… seeing kids go wild under the rain, really not wanting to leave the pitch. They had fans of theirs going wild on the stands as well, a truly magical night for the Buenos Aires giants, who were losing 1-0 in the 82nd minute, needed two goals to qualify, and found them. They will be facing Boca Juniors in the – double – final. Marcelo Gallardo (who was banned in the game against Gremio, but still visited his team’s dressing room at halftime), is resting Armani, Maidana, Casco and Enzo Pérez this weekend. Ponzio and De la Cruz are injured, Mora has a stomach problem, and Martínez Quarta is out due to cards. River will play with some reserves, and are expected to start with Lux, Moreira, Lollo, Pinola, Mayada, Nacho Fernández, Zuculini, Sosa, Quintero, Scocco and Borré (or Pratto). River were allowed to have fans of theirs in Quilmes, for this game.
Previous five matches:
Banfield vs Estudiantes 0-2
Estudiantes vs Newell’s Old Boys 1-0
Estudiantes vs Atletico Tucuman 1-1
Tigre vs Estudiantes 1-0
Estudiantes vs San Lorenzo 1-3
Gremio vs River Plate 1-2
River Plate vs Aldosivi 1-0
River Plate vs Gremio 0-1
Colon vs River Plate 1-0
River Plate vs Sarmiento Resistencia 3-1
Estudiantes’ next game is at Colón, next Saturday. Same day, River will be visiting Boca Juniors in the first leg of their Copa Libertadores final.
Estudiantes vs River Plate: Head to head Stats
One win for Estudiantes, two for River, and two draws, in the last five games between these two with the La Plata side as hosts.
Estudiantes vs River Plate: Prediction
Despite Estudiantes’ good moment, the gap between them and River, quality-wise, is significant, I reckon. River need to win, because they have already lost ground in the championship.
Estudiantes vs River Plate: Betting Tips
River’s win in “draw no bet” is at 1.72, pushing their double chance down to just 1.38. If I left the safety net of “draw no bet” aside, I would go… all in, and combine River’s win with a clean sheet. Like that, it pays a marvelous 3.75.