Flamengo vs Botafogo
Competition: Brazilian Serie A
Date: 4 June 2017
Kick-off: 16:00 CET
Flamengo’s main problem for weeks now has been the lack of consistency. From earning big victories even away from home, they’ve been going to failing to beat weaker sides even at home, again and again. Last weekend they drew 1-1 at Atletico Paranaense, after two back-to-back wins at Atletico Goianiense, one in the Serie A and a more important one in the Copa do Brasil, which helped them through to the next round. Center-back Rafael Vaz and defensive midfielder Marcio Araujo have been the center of Flamengo fans’ criticism, but coach Ze Ricardo looks determined to keep starting them. Meanwhile, Flamengo are trying to strengthen their squad, and by the time you read this they may have already signed 28-year-old attacking midfielder Everton Ribeiro, who spent the last two and a half years at Dubai’s Al Ahli.
Last weekend I backed Botafogo to beat Bahia and keep a clean sheet, at 2.75. They won 1-0. Midweek, they drew 1-1 at Sport Recife, a result good enough to send them through to the next round of the competition (they had won 2-1 at home in the first leg). Attacking midfielder Camilo got injured and had to be substituted at Sport. His presence in the derby against Flamengo remains a doubt. Defensive midfielder Rodrigo Lindoso is the other doubtful for this game. Interestingly, center-forward Roger called Flamengo’s striker Paolo Guerrero ‘overestimated’, in a Press conference, adding that he’s the last opponent he’s worried about in this game(!).
Flamengo vs Botafogo: Head-to-head Stats
Three wins for Flamengo and two draws in the last five games between these two with ‘Fla’ as hosts.
Flamengo vs Botafogo: Prediction
Flamengo are considered big favorites to win, and if they play like… Flamengo, they will win indeed, but personally I find it difficult to trust them, having seen how prone they are to under-performing. On the other hand, Botafogo did play a difficult game midweek, and traveled… half the country to face Sport in Recife. Everything considered, I’m leaving my reservations aside, and I’m backing Flamengo to win, even though it feels like a much bigger risk than what their 1.66 indicates.
Flamengo vs Botafogo: Tips
The fact that Flamengo’s win pays just 1.66 almost makes me ignore it, but… deep-deep down, I do expect them to win, so… For more than that, I would take an even bigger risk and bet on a Flamengo win in a game that will have at least three goals. The fact that it’s a local derby, makes me feel that Flamengo will outdo themselves, and score more than once.