Flamengo vs Santos
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 15 November 2018
Kick-off: 20:00 CET
A Brazilian newspaper made an interesting point; Flamengo have conceded first in 19 matches this year (all competitions included), they’ve lost 12 of those, they salvaged a point in six, and won just one(!). Last weekend, they went 1-0 down in the 19th minute, at Botafogo, 10 minutes later they conceded again, and all they managed was to shorten the gap early in the second half. Nothing more. Painful defeat for Fla, who saw the gap between them and leaders Palmeiras grow to seven points. Dorival Júnior doesn’t have attacking midfielder Paquetá, left-back Renê and central midfielder Arão at his disposal, all three suspended. Diego, Fla’s number 10, was expected to start for the first time since Dorival Júnior took over, but he is dealing with a minor injury, and is unclear if he can play. If he does, the other 10 should be César, Rodinei, Réver, Léo Duarte, Pará, Cuéllar, Rômulo (or Piris da Motta), Everton Ribeiro, Vitinho and Uribe.
These last days have had bad and… even worse news for Santos. First, they lost 0-1 to Chapecoense(!), and stayed 8th in the table at the end of the 33rd game week, instead of climbing up 6th, as expected. Then, they started getting prepared for the trip to Rio de Janeiro without Carlos Sánchez, Derlis González, and Bryan Ruiz. All three are on national duty, and will miss up to three Série A matches each. Last, on Wednesday, the day before the game at Maracana, Rodrygo missed training, feeling exhausted, and having flu symptoms as well. Just before traveling to Rio de Janeiro, the prevailing feeling was that Santos will start the game with Vanderlei, Victor Ferraz, Kaique Rocha (got injured on Tuesday, but trained properly on Wednesday), Gustavo Henrique, Dodô, Alison, Renato (or Arthur Gomes, another guy who didn’t train properly on Wednesday), Diego Pituca, Rodrygo (or Copete), Gabigol, Bruno Henrique (again, or Copete).
Previous five matches:
Botafogo vs Flamengo 2-1
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo 2-2
Flamengo vs Palmeiras 1-1
Parana vs Flamengo 0-4
Flamengo vs Fluminense 3-0
Santos vs Chapecoense 0-1
Palmeiras vs Santos 3-2
Santos vs Fluminense 3-0
Internacional vs Santos 2-2
Santos vs Corinthians 1-0
Flamengo’s next game is at Sport Recife, on Sunday. Same day, Santos will be visiting América Mineiro (both Série A matches).
Flamengo vs Santos: Head to head Stats
Two wins for Flamengo, two for Santos as well, and a draw, in the last five games between these two in Rio de Janeiro.
Flamengo vs Santos: Prediction
Santos are without key-key players. So are Flamengo, but Fla have a deeper roster. I’m backing the hosts to win this one.
Flamengo vs Santos: Betting Tips
Flamengo’s win is at 1.75. It’s not fantastic, but I’m staying with that, because this is a game I can see end anything from 1-0 to 3-1.