Fluminense vs Chapecoense
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 26 May 2018
Kick-off: 21:00 CET
Fluminense beat Atlético Paranaense 2-0 at home last weekend, bouncing back from back-to-back defeats to Nacional Potosí and Botafogo. At least the first one, in Bolivia, didn’t cost them, as they still qualified for the second round of the Copa Sudamericana. They are in the upper half of the Série A table, on 10 points from six matches, having two wins and a draw at home thus far. Pedro, Flu’s number 9, had to leave the pitch towards the end of the game last weekend, injured, but over these last days his situation improved a lot, and is expected to start the game. Júnior Sornoza, Fluminense’s Ecuadorian attacking midfielder, told reporters he expects the team to… step on it in the remaining games until the World Cup finals break. Flu have done great at home up to now, and want to build on that good home form.
Chapecoense had gone undefeated in six games before visiting Internacional last weekend, but the Porto Alegre side proved too good for them. Chape lost 3-0, third straight away game without scoring, sixth without a victory. They are just above the relegation line, on just six points from as many games thus far. Center-back Rafael Thyere is back after serving an one-game ban, and is expected to start. Central midfielder Luiz Antonio is dealing with a rather persistent injury, and is unclear if he is available. Secondary striker Júnior Santos seems to need more rest. He has already missed a game due to fatigue, but tests showed that he should stay out for another weekend, so as to avoid risking an injury.
Previous five matches:
Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense 2-0
Botafogo vs Fluminense 2-1
Nacional Potosi vs Fluminense 2-0
Vitoria vs Fluminense 1-2
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo 1-1
Internacional vs Chapecoense 3-0
Chapecoense vs Atletico Mineiro 0-0
Chapecoense vs Flamengo 3-2
Chapecoense vs Parana 1-1
Atletico Mineiro vs Chapecoense 0-0
Fluminense’s next game is at Gremio, on Wednesday. Same day, Chape will be hosting Ceará (both Brazil Série A matches).
Fluminense vs Chapecoense: Head to head Stats
Wow… Chapecoense have won three of the four matches they have played at Fluminense the last four years. They are actually undefeated, having drawn in the remaining match.
Fluminense vs Chapecoense: Prediction
Fluminense have been very good at home recently, while Chape have been rather average away from their home. Flu’s win doesn’t pay much, it’s… tempting to bet against them, but deep down I do expect them to win.
Fluminense vs Chapecoense: Betting Tips
At 1.68, I feel Flu’s win is not worth the risk. “No” on “both teams to score” is at 1.75, and even better, “yes” on “Fluminense to keep a clean sheet” pays 2.10, suiting my hunch that Flu will win the game without conceding, or, get stuck to a 0-0 draw.
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