Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 3 November 2018
Kick-off: 21:00 CET
“We were humble acknowledging our limits”. I found this Jádson line very interesting, after Fluminense’s 0-1 triumph in Montevideo a few days ago, in the return leg of their Copa Sudamericana quarterfinal against Nacional. They had drawn 1-1 at home, traveled to Uruguay with their back against the wall, they (not just central midfielder Jádson) knew they couldn’t just… start attacking from minute one, they had to take their time, give space to Nacional, wait for their moment, and that’s exactly what they did. Early in the second half they scored the goal they needed, and they protected that lead. Huge win for Fluminense, who had their captain, center-back Gum, playing after having a pain-killing injection before kick-off, trying to deal with his recent injury. They will be facing fellow Brazilian club Atlético Paranaense in the semifinals. In the Série A, they lost 3-0 at Santos last weekend, and are 10th in the table, on 40 points.
This is Vasco da Gama’s huge opportunity to make a massive step towards avoiding relegation, and also boost their chances of playing Copa Sudamericana football next season. A week after drawing 1-1 at home with Internacional, they are visiting Fluminense at Maracana, facing a team that just played a big Sudamericana return leg, and have an even bigger game coming up in a few days in the same competition. Vasco, midweek, had the “luxury” to focus on the championship. Plus, for the first time since he took over, a couple of months ago, coach Alberto Valentim has the opportunity to repeat the same lineup in back-to-back games. Up until now, either because of injuries or cards, he was obliged to make changes on a weekly basis. Furthermore, winger Rildo is back from injury, another player Valentim can count on. Vasco are 14th, on 35 points, just one more than Chapecoense, the first team below the relegation line.
Previous five matches:
Nacional Montevideo vs Fluminense 0-1
Santos vs Fluminense 3-0
Fluminense vs Nacional Montevideo 1-1
Fluminense vs Atletico Mineiro 1-0
Flamengo vs Fluminense 3-0
Vasco da Gama vs Internacional 1-1
Sport Recife vs Vasco da Gama 2-1
Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro 2-0
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama 1-1
Parana vs Vasco da Gama 1-1
Fluminense’s next game is midweek, against Atlético Paranaense (Copa Sudamericana semifinal, first leg). Vasco are visiting Gremio next Sunday (Série A).
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama: Head to head Stats
One win for Fluminense and four for Vasco in the last four Rio derbies between these two with Flu as hosts.
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama: Prediction
Flu are considered slight favorites to win the game, but Marcelo Oliveira has no choice but to rotate, because of their Copa Sudamericana matches. Vasco haven’t won away from home in the championship since… last season(!), they have seven draws and eight defeats on the road this year, but I expect them to leave Maracana with at least a point, and I won’t be surprised if they finally win as visitors.
Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama: Betting Tips
Vasco’s win in “draw no bet” is at 1.90, and their double chance at 1.55.