Gremio vs Sao Paulo
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: 27 July 2018
Kick-off: 00:30 CET
Gremio tried and tried and tried, but… nothing worked for them last Sunday, in Rio de Janeiro, where they visited Vasco da Gama. They conceded a… weird goal something over two minutes into the game, and despite how dominant they were later, especially after the 20th minute, and even more in the entire second half, they simply lacked the… imagination needed to create clear chances. They had ball possession, they spent the second half practically… parked in Vasco’s half of the field, but they created very little. Gremio have André suspended and Michel injured. Their first 11 should be Marcelo Grohe, Léo Moura, Pedro Geromel, Kannemann, Marcelo Oliveira, Maicon, Cícero, Ramiro, Luan, Everton and Jael. Gremio are 7th in the table, on 23 points from 14 matches. A couple of days ago they signed 21-year-old left-back Juninho Capixaba.
Sao Paulo are the hottest team in Brazil at the moment, having four wins in a row, and two triumphs after the World Cup finals break. First, they beat leaders Flamengo at Maracana, and last weekend they did… anything they wanted against Corinthians at Morumbi (3-1). Sao Paulo don’t have any player suspended (but they do have seven who are one yellow card away from missing the next game). Edimar, Jucilei and Rodrigo Caio are injured, while a couple of days ago they sold right-back Éder Militão to Porto. Sao Paulo are expected to start with Sidão, Éder Militão, Arboleda, Anderson Martins, Reinaldo, Liziero, Hudson, Nenê, Rojas, Everton and Diego Souza. Yes, with Éder Militão as well, as Sao Paulo and Porto have an agreement that keeps the player in Brazil for four more matches.
Previous five matches:
Vasco da Gama vs Gremio 1-0
Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro 2-0
Sport Recife vs Gremio 0-0
Gremio vs America Mineiro 1-0
Gremio vs Palmeiras 0-2
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians 3-1
Flamengo vs Sao Paulo 0-1
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria 3-0
Atletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo 0-1
Sao Paulo vs Internacional 0-0
Gremio’s next game is at Chapecoense, on Sunday. Same day, Sao Paulo will be visiting Cruzeiro (both Brazil Série A matches).
Gremio vs Sao Paulo: Head to head Stats
Two wins for Gremio, two for Sao Paulo as well, and a draw, in the last five games between these two in Porto Alegre.
Gremio vs Sao Paulo: Prediction
Absolutely huge game, in which Gremio are considered favorites to win. Personally, I like Sao Paulo’s chances to leave Porto Alegre undefeated.
Gremio vs Sao Paulo: Betting Tips
The visitors’ double chance is at 1.83, exactly as much as Gremio’s win. “Under 2.5 goals” feels very probable to me, but doesn’t pay more than 1.50, so I would stick to Sao Paulo’s double chance at 1.83, and maybe risk – somewhat – with their win in “draw no bet” (3.00).