Hoffenheim vs Augsburg
Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Date: 10 November 2018
Kick-off: 15:30 CET
Hoffenheim visited Lyon midweek, in a Champions League group stage match, and drew 2-2. “Over 2.5 goals”, the same combined with “both teams to score”, and last but not least, “over 3.5 goals”, were my three tips, and even the third one came good in added time, when Pavel Kadeřábek equalized for Hoffenheim, 2-2. The German side were losing 2-0 until the 65th minute, and what makes their comeback even more impressive is that they were left with 10 men in the 51st minute! They managed to salvage a point in Lyon, playing with a man less. Last weekend, they destroyed Bayer Leverkusen 1-4 away from home. They are on 16 points from 10 matches in the Bundesliga, sitting 7th in the table after last weekend’s matches. Julian Nagelsmann is expected to have Baumann, Akpoguma, Vogt, Bicakcic, Brenet, Nelson, Grillitsch, Demirbay, Schulz, Belfodil and Joelinton in the starting lineup. Attacking midfielder Amiri (foot), center-back Hübner (concussion), and central midfielder Rupp (cruciate ligament) are out, injured. About 40 hours before kick-off, it was unclear if center-back and captain Kevin Vogt, as well as forwards Andrej Kramaric and Adam Szalai would be available in this match.
Augsburg were left frustrated last weekend, getting equalized at home, twice, by a team lower than them in the table (Nurnberg), but at the end of the day, that 2-2 earned them a point, their 13th from 10 matches, putting them in the upper half of the table. They are expected to start with Luthe, Schmid, Gouweleeuw, Hinteregger, Max, Khedira, Baier, Richter, Koo, Caiuby and Finnbogason (their leading scorer). Manuel Baum doesn’t have goalkeeper Giefer (hip), right winger Hahn (knee), center-back Janker (heel), center-forward Ji (knee), central midfielder Moravek (fascia), and another center-forward Schieber (joint mouse) at his disposal, all injured.
Previous five matches:
Lyon vs Hoffenheim 2-2
Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim 1-4
RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim 2-0
Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart 4-0
Hoffenheim vs Lyon 3-3
Augsburg vs Nurnberg 2-2
Augsburg vs Mainz 3-2
Hannover vs Augsburg 1-2
Augsburg vs RB Leipzig 0-0
Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg 4-3
Hoffenheim’s next game is at Hertha Berlin, in two weeks. Augsburg will be hosting Eintracht Frankfurt after the international break (both Bundesliga matches).
Hoffenheim vs Augsburg: Head to head Stats
Three Hoffenheim wins and two draws in the last five games between these two with TSG as hosts.
Hoffenheim vs Augsburg: Prediction
Hoffenheim played on Wednesday in France. They had four days to recover physically. They are considered clear favorites to win the game, but I prefer to bet on goals instead. It has paid off in Hoffenheim’s Champions League matches.
Hoffenheim vs Augsburg: Betting Tips
“Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score” is at 1.66, slightly better than Hoffenheim’s win. I would risk a bit more, and go for “over 3.5 goals”, at 2.00.