Hoffenheim vs Schalke
Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Date: 1 December 2018
Kick-off: 18:30 CET
Hoffenheim are… broken-hearted, having gotten eliminated from the Champions League, and knowing that even finishing third in their group is highly-highly unlikely. They were losing 0-2 to Shakhtar Donetsk at home midweek, they managed to draw level before halftime, but just before the hour mark Adam Szalai saw a second yellow card. The German side played with 10 men in the remainder of the match, and… received the final blow in added time, when Shakhtar scored the winner. They are last in the table, on three points, four behind second-placed Lyon (so they can’t finish second, as there is only one match left), and two behind Shakhtar. Last weekend, they were leading 1-3 at Hertha, but conceded twice in the last 20 minutes and had to leave Berlin with just one point. Baumann, Bicakcic, Vogt, Akpoguma, Kaderabek, Demirbay, Grillitsch, Schulz, Nelson, Szalai and Kramaric should be the first 11. Central midfielder Lukas Rupp is out, has been sidelined for quite some time now with a serious injury, and won’t be back before, hopefully, late January.
Schalke’s 3-1 defeat at Porto midweek was way less… dramatic than that of Hoffenheim, and not really painful, as they still qualified, mathematically, for the Champions League last-16. They are four points ahead of third-placed Galatasaray, with just one game left. Last weekend, they were… ruthless at home against Nurnberg, scoring five goals, three in the last 20 minutes. That 5-2 pushed them to 13 points. They are still low in the table, just 14th. Fährmann, Sane, Stambouli, Nastasic, Caligiuri, Bentaleb, Rudy, Harit, Oczipka, Skrzybski and Burgstaller, these should be the first 11. Domenico Tedesco cannot count on center-forwards Breel Embolo, Cedric Teuchert and Mark Uth, as all three are injured.
Previous five matches:
Hoffenheim vs Shakhtar Donetsk 2-3
Hertha Berlin vs Hoffenheim 3-3
Hoffenheim vs Augsburg 2-1
Lyon vs Hoffenheim 2-2
Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim 1-4
Porto vs Schalke 3-1
Schalke vs Nurnberg 5-2
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Schalke 3-0
Schalke vs Galatasaray 2-0
Schalke vs Hannover 3-1
Hoffenheim are visiting Wolfsburg next Saturday. Same day, Schalke will be hosting Borussia Dortmund (both Bundesliga matches).
Hoffenheim vs Schalke: Head to head Stats
Three wins for Hoffenheim, one for Schalke, and a draw, in the last five games between these two with TSG as hosts.
Hoffenheim vs Schalke: Prediction
I really like Hoffenheim’s chances of winning this game.
Hoffenheim vs Schalke: Betting Tips
At 1.85, I think the hosts’ win pays well enough to avoid risking further with number of goals. If I absolutely had to choose something paying better than that, I’d go for “Hoffenheim and over 2.5 goals”, at 2.45.